We are now entering the best month over the last 20 years in long-term treasuries (TLT) – August. From the last closing price of July until the last in August the average has been a pretty solid 3.23%. This is substantially more than any other month. Four months/years have shown losses, all pretty moderate.
Average gain for winning months is 4.44%, while average gain for the four years where August showed a loss was -1.01%. TLT, the ETF for long-term treasuries, has this equity curve since 2002 until today, assuming 100 000 in starting capital and being 100% invested in August every year:
For all months it looks like this:
|Per trade %|
Is this table of any use? For me it’s not, but it might generate some ideas for other users.
Disclosure: I am not a financial advisor. Please do your own due diligence and investment research or consult a financial professional. All articles are my opinion – they are not suggestions to buy or sell any securities.