Last Updated on November 21, 2020 by Oddmund Groette
I caught some ideas from Paststat and Quantifiable edges to test “big” movement on Mondays. I have tested this in a previous post, but this time we’ll look at what happens to SPY the rest of the week.
Here are the criteria for long:
- Today is Monday
- Calculate a 25 day average of the daily H-L range.
- SPY must fall at least 50% number 2 from Friday’s close.
- Go long at the close.
- Exit at close 4 days later.
The numbers in the table above are in % and from 2005 until March 2013. Pretty good numbers considering the amount of time in the market is about 15%.
What if we turn it upside down and go short:
Here is the equity curve (blue is long and pink is short):