As traders, we rely on different technical analysis tools to gain valuable insights into market movements and attempt to predict the future price direction — the KST oscillator is one tool that is worth checking out. What do you know…
If you’re searching for a practical eurusd trading strategy, you’re in the right place. Our guide cuts to the core, offering an examination of EUR/USD’s price action, essential economic reports influencing its volatility, and specific tools like Fibonacci retracement levels…
There are many technical indicators and analysis tools traders can use to track how the market is moving, and one that is growing in popularity is the Disparity Index. What do you know about this indicator? The Disparity Index is…
Nick Radge’s Weekend Trend Trader trading strategy is a mechanical and systematic trading system designed for part-time traders, allowing them to make decisions and manage trades during the weekend when markets are closed. In this article, we explain the Weekend…
The forex market is considered the most liquid financial market globally, boasting a massive trading volume that surpasses $805 billion in 2023. On the other hand, the cryptocurrency market is still considered a relatively new and fast-developing domain, centered around…
In the fast-paced financial trading world, using the most responsive indicators for your technical analysis is key to catching the right moves in time, and this is where the Adaptive Laguerre Filter comes in. What do you know about this…
With trading strategies, there are many different ways to trade and as many different types of trading strategies. It’s important to remember that what works well for one person might not yield the same results for you. Conducting thorough data analysis and backtesting, along…
The framing effect in trading bias influences how traders make decisions by altering the presentation of information. This cognitive bias can lead to different choices based on whether data is framed positively or negatively. Understanding this effect is crucial for…
Searching for CAD/CHF trading tips? You’re in the right place. This guide covers live rates, key factors influencing the CAD/CHF pair, recent performance, and effective trading strategies. Whether you’re a beginner or an experienced trader, you’ll find valuable insights to…
Are you looking to refine your approach with advanced forex trading strategies or just starting out? This article offers a clear path to understanding and applying a variety of techniques suitable for all levels of experience. From foundational concepts to…
Wondering how to succeed in NZD CAD trading? In this article, you’ll find crucial tips and strategies tailored for the NZD CAD pair. We’ll explore key factors affecting its exchange rate, important technical indicators, and effective trading strategies to help…
Representativeness heuristic bias in trading happens when traders make quick decisions based on superficial similarities to past situations or stereotypes, rather than thorough analysis. This shortcut often leads to poor investment choices and losses. In this article, we explore what…
The Dunning-Kruger Effect bias in trading can lead to overconfidence and costly mistakes. This cognitive bias causes novice traders to overestimate their abilities, ignoring risks and misinterpreting market data. In this article, you’ll learn how this bias impacts trading and…
Very few bullish candlestick patterns work, but this article presents 3 bullish candlestick patterns that work. Even though Candlesticks are a popular charting method, very few patterns have any predictive value. We use candlesticks extensively ourselves for charting because we…
Curious about NZD/CHF trading? This guide will provide you with everything you need to get started, from market analysis to effective trading strategies. Learn how to trade the New Zealand Dollar against the Swiss Franc. Key Takeaways Understanding NZD CHF…
Projection bias in trading leads traders to project their current emotions onto future market conditions, often resulting in poor decisions and financial losses. This article explores how this bias influences trading and provides strategies to recognize and mitigate its impact….
Curious about how to trade GBP CAD trading effectively? This guide covers everything you need to know—from the best trading strategies and timing to key economic indicators that impact the GBP/CAD currency pair. Key Takeaways Importance of GBP/CAD in Forex…
Herding bias in trading happens when investors follow the crowd rather than their own analysis. This can lead to poor investment choices and market instability. Recognizing and understanding herding bias is crucial for protecting your investments. In this article, we…
Today we are presenting three free mean reversion strategies. They were partially published on this website a few years back, and today we make some minor adjustments and present their performance on different ETFs. Furthermore, we discuss why mean reversion…
Analysis of the financial markets today has become so much more scientific, as professionals from different fields of science try hard to solve the market puzzle, and this has led to indicators like the Prime Number Bands. What do you…
Looking for an effective GBP/AUD trading strategy? This article covers actionable strategies and key factors that influence GBP/AUD. Learn various trading approaches and tools designed for the GBP/AUD pair. Key Takeaways Understanding the GBP/AUD Currency Pair The GBP/AUD currency pair…
Looking for an effective GBP NZD trading strategy? This guide is for you. The GBP/NZD pair is known for its high volatility, offering numerous trading opportunities. In this article, we cover the key factors influencing this pair, various GBP NZD…
In the fast-paced world of financial trading, everyone is looking for better tools to improve their technical analysis, and one such tool is the High-Low Bands indicator. What do you know about this indicator? The High-Low Bands are two lines…
The financial markets may seem random in the way they move, but with certain technical analysis tools, like the Zigzag Fibonacci, you might find that the movements follow a certain pattern. What do you know about the Zigzag Fibonacci? In…
This article presents a SPY volume trading strategy. Understanding the significance of trading volume in SPY and the S&P 500 ETF is crucial. This article explores the relevance of volume in SPY trading and presents findings from historical data analysis…
The 9/30 trading strategy is a trend-following strategy that uses two moving averages — a 9-period EMA (exponential moving average) and a 30-period WMA (weighted moving average) — to spot trading opportunities when there is a pullback. The 9-period EMA…
The channel breakout trading strategy is one of many ways to trade breakouts. Breakouts are a popular trading strategy. As the name suggests, this method involves identifying and capitalizing on significant price movements as an asset breaks free from its typical…
Trading SPY And S&P 500 Using VIX (VIX Trading Strategies). The VIX is a popular measure of the implied volatility of S&P 500 index options. Put shortly, the VIX is a mean reversion indicator: when the risk premium increases (VIX…
High Probability ETF Trading, published in 2009 and written by Larry Connors and Cesar Alvarez, contains some interesting strategies. They are all mean revertive and tested on the most popular ETFs at the time of writing, which was the end…
The information technology sector has the highest weighting in the S&P 500 index, representing more than a quarter of the index’s market cap. Over the last decade, the sector has been “hot” and had a spectacular bull market. In this…
Investors and analysts are always looking for ways to analyze the market, and one method of evaluating the current price of a stock to determine whether it is relatively overpriced or underpriced compared to the average trading price for the…
Here is a Tradingview Pine Script Strategy. TradingView is a popular tool with many traders due to its vast array of tools and features. TradingView uses its native code language, Pine Script, to implement indicators and backtest trading strategies. In…
The advent of Artificial Intelligence is here, and is forecast to combine with and revolutionize many industries in the years to come. One such combined industry is ‘Robotics and AI’, and traders are increasingly seeking ways to position themselves to…
Today we want to delve into John Ehler’s Trading Strategy and an indicator created by this famous author to investigate financial instruments quantitatively. In August 2006, John Ehlers published an article in Stocks & Commodities titled Modeling The Market =…
One of the best edges in the stock market is the overnight edge – the price action from the close until tomorrow’s morning (or close). Is it still working? Can a trend filter improve performance? Empirical evidence – the overnight…
A market-neutral strategy is a type of investment approach that enables an investor to benefit from both rising and falling stock prices. This is achieved by taking long positions in one stock and short positions in another stock. The strategy…
Of the many classifications a stock can have, one of the most significant is relative to its size. It is well known in the market that small caps tend to perform better than large caps, something called the small-cap effect….
When should you sell a stock or position? Many articles and videos deal with when to buy, but less focus is on when to sell. When should you sell? What method should you use to sell? What is the best…
This Big Down Day Trading Strategy, centered around the SPY ETF, focuses on identifying significant downward movements and capitalizing on them. By analyzing simple variables like the average difference between daily highs and lows over a specific period, we unveil…
Commodities, being closely tied to weather patterns and economic activity, exhibit high cyclical characteristics. Similarly, stocks also display cyclical tendencies. Given this, is there an opportunity to capitalize on their optimal performance? The commodities to equity ratio tries to do…
It’s possible to make Friday Jobs Report trading strategies. One of the most important macro numbers on this planet is the monthly US job report. As a bonus, at the end of this article, we provide you with the code…
How important are the best days compared to total profits? In trading, you want to avoid negatively skewed trading strategies. These are strategies that have fat left tails and might wipe out all your profits from many trades. You need…
Introducing the “3 Day Low Trading Strategy”! This strategy is based on Larry Connors’ double 7 method and aims to capitalize on the stock market’s mean-reverting tendencies. It involves identifying ETFs that close at a 3-day low and have an…
The exponential moving average strategy is one of the most commonly used among traders. But do you know what it is? And do you know if an exponential average strategy can be used profitably in the stock market? Backtests indicate…
Crafting a strategy that adapts to changing conditions is crucial for success. One such strategy gaining attention is the ETF sector rotation trading strategy. In this case, we are going to be focusing on the Consumer Staples and Consumer Discretionary…
I guess most traders have heard that “the trend is your friend“. Personally, I don’t do trend-following strategies, I go the opposite way: buy weakness and sell strength – mean reversion strategies. However, this depends on the instrument you trade…
The Weighted Moving Average (WMA) is a valuable technical indicator employed by traders to assess the direction of trade and assist in making informed decisions on when to buy or sell. This article looks at the math, theory, and basics…
In 2022 the bond market experienced the worst drawdown in its history, and since then volatility has been off the charts. It seems like rates are moving like tech stocks did in 2000. Luckily, this can be seen through the…
Mean reversion has worked very well on most Western stock indices for about four decades since the advent of futures trading. It has worked even better during the bull market after the financial crisis in 2008/09. Perhaps counterintuitive, long strategies…
Introduction to the Z-Score Trading Strategy: The Z-Score is a statistical measure used in finance to assess a company’s financial health and its likelihood of bankruptcy. The Z-Score Trading Strategy employs this metric to make improved investment decisions. The Z-Score…
Today we will look at a strategy published by Michael Gayed in his paper An Intermarket Approach to Beta Rotation: The Strategy, Signal and Power of Utilities. Gayed’s paper is among the most downloaded papers on the SSRN website. The…
With the tight regulations that followed the 2008/2009 financial crisis, this sector has been stable with steady growth. But let’s see what it has to offer. In this article, we discuss the US financial sector and we show you an…
What are the worst days of the year for trading stocks? Let’s find out and test from the year 2000. We did a backtest where we optimized the month and trading day to find the WORST trading days for the…
Is there a safe investment asset strategy? A while back, Meb Faber published a white paper called What Is The Safest Investment Asset. Faber wanted to answer if there is such a thing as the safest asset in the world….
QQQ Trading Strategies and Systems The QQQ is the largest and most liquid ETF that tracks the Nasdaq Composite Index. It is a popular investment vehicle for both individual and institutional investors. However, successfully trading the QQQ can be challenging…
The world of stock trading is a dynamic and ever-evolving landscape, where traders employ a wide array of strategies to capitalize on market movements. However, sometimes very basic strategies can perform really well. The 5 consecutive higher open trading strategy…
Previously I wrote an article about the detrimental effect of using stop-loss. What happens if we reverse it? Does using a profit target create any value? When trading it’s mentally very hard to see a nice gain turn around into…
The dual momentum trading strategy by Gary Antonacci, what is that about? As the Oracle of Omaha, Warren Buffett, once said: “Trying to time the market is the number one mistake to avoid.” It is almost impossible to consistently time…
One often-mentioned expression in the financial markets is “risk on risk off”. What is it, and can you use it to develop a profitable risk on risk off trading strategy? A risk on risk off trading (RORO) strategy takes advantage…
The PENTAD Timing Model By Nelson Freeburg is an active, complicated strategy that uses four stock indices and one advance/decline line for producing buy/sell signals. This timing model is designed for the US stock market. Using this timing model, you…
A Russell 2000 Death Cross occurs when the 50-day moving average of the Russell 2000 index crosses below its 200-day moving average. This is often seen as a bearish signal, but a new study by Rob Hanna on his blog…
Taking advantage of the popularity of Tradingview and its powerful tools for technical analysis, we will explore Bollinger Bands and their potential for creating a trading strategy. Stay with us until the end to see how we use the tools…
A big part of a successful trading strategy is seasonal trading. As we are about to see, this is especially true in commodities. Today we will look at a silver seasonal trading strategy where we invest only in the best-performing…
Bond trading strategies are a great inclusion in a portfolio of strategies because they offer diversification and, most likely, uncorrelated returns. Bonds are complementary. First, you might want to have a look at other articles related to bond trading strategies:…
Does trend following work in the S&P 500? We recently came across an article called Breaking into the Blackbox: Trend Following, Stop Losses, and the Frequency of Trading: The Case of the S&P 500. It’s written by academics, but in…
Simple Moving Average Trading Strategy revolves around the use of a simple moving average (SMA), which is a technical analysis tool that helps traders identify the direction of a market trend by averaging the closing prices of a security or…
Gap down trading strategies in stocks capitalize on downward price gaps between trading sessions. This strategy outlines specific entry and exit criteria to exploit these opportunities effectively. Entry occurs on the next trading day if certain conditions are met, while…
Bear market strategy refers to the techniques traders and investors use to trade the market during a bear run. They include entry, exit, trade management, and risk management strategies investors use to protect their assets and even make some profits…
In the world of finance, geopolitical risk refers to the potential impact of geopolitical events on the economy and financial markets. Geopolitical events include wars, elections, political unrest, policy changes, trade disputes, terrorism, and other types of conflict or instability….
IWM is the ticker symbol for iShares Russell 2000 ETF, which is one of the main ETFs that track the Russell 2000 index. The ETF provides a way to invest in the index and gain exposure to small-cap U.S. stocks….
Momentum trading is the opposite of buying low and selling high: momentum is about buying strength. Can we make a successful momentum strategy for S&P 500? Yes, a momentum strategy for the S&P 500 works. We use monthly bars and…
Variable moving average strategy backtest Traders have always looked for ways to improve the performance of the exponential moving average, and using a volatility index (VI) to adjust the smoothing period as market conditions change has given rise to the…
Channel trading can be profitable when used correctly. It can help you to track and speculate on the prevailing market trend, especially if you are a swing trader. But it can also be used in range-bound markets. Both mean-reversion traders…
This article shows a rotation strategy between healthcare stocks and the S&P 500. The trading idea is pretty simple, but it beats the buy and hold of the S&P 500. Moreover, we believe this strategy is more rational than at…
Meb Faber’s Tactical Asset Allocation strategy is an active trend-following strategy that uses market timings and allocates assets across four asset classes: stocks, bonds, REITs, and commodities. These four asset classes are divided into five categories: U.S. stocks, foreign stocks,…
The stock market is officially open for 6.5 hours daily and has an opening and closing price for each stock. What is the opening price of a stock? The opening price of a stock (or any asset on an exchange)…
New traders often think that there is that one indicator that would help them make big profits from the market all the time. Unfortunately, there is none, which is why the triple screen strategy was invented to exploit the strong…
In May 2015, Micheal A. Gayed published a paper called Lumber: Worth Its Weight in Gold Offense and Defense in Active Portfolio Management (free download at SSRN). We used that paper to make a profitable lumber/gold ratio trading strategy for…
Wheel Trading Strategy The wheel trading strategy is a popular options trading strategy that involves generating income from options by buying and selling puts and covered calls. It is a systematic approach to trading options, allowing investors to potentially generate…
In December 2010 I moved permanently to Latvia. Now I am the lucky owner of a very nice house and garden just outside Riga for 1/5 of the price compared to Oslo (where I moved from), and I can enjoy…
Pairs Trading Strategy involves being neutral to the direction of the market. This article looks at what pairs trading is, how it works, and its advantages and disadvantages (pros and cons). The main benefit of pairs trading is market neutrality….
How do you do overnight trading? Is it possible to make money via overnight trading? Can you make money by owning stocks or indices for just one day? Is overnight trading good? You do overnight trading by buying the close…
Hull moving average strategy backtest Experienced traders know that the best trading indicators are those that can reduce lag, eliminate noise, and quickly respond to sustained market changes. The Hull Moving Average (HMA) seems to tick those boxes. What do…
Gap fill trading strategies are popular among traders, especially when it comes to playing the opening gap of the S&P 500. But what exactly is an opening gap? This article explores the basics of gap trading strategies, focusing on understanding…
The common belief is that large-cap stocks don’t perform very well because they are already big and they don’t grow at high rates. However, is this true? What is the large-cap effect (factor) trading strategy? In this article, we are…
Let’s look at at price pattern that shows that Tesla’s stock price booms every time this happens. It doesn’t happen often, but it has worked well so far: Tesla’s Stock Price Booms Every Time This Happens The trading rules are…
You can develop and create profitable short-selling strategies and systems, but you can’t expect to find many; they normally trade infrequently. This article presents several short-selling strategies in the S&P 500 (SPY and ES) and consumer staples (XLP). Moreover, we…
Today we’ll present a strategy that we first wrote about some years ago – an article called big moves on Mondays – but we have made a small twist to the strategy. We call the strategy for the Big Reversal…
In this article, we backtest Larry Connors‘ 3 day high/low Method/Strategy. How has the strategy performed since it was revealed in his book in 2009? The 3 day high/low method/strategy performed well in Connors’ book, and it still works pretty…
I believe experience is the most important asset for any speculator. In this article, I explain why experience matters in trading. It’s simple: the longer you survive, the fitter and stronger you get, and thus more fit to prey on…
The 5-Day Low Overnight Trading Strategy focuses on trading the S&P 500 when it opens at a 5-day low but closes higher than its opening price. This strategy involves entering trades at the close and exiting when the market opens…
Italy is one of the most beautiful countries in the world, and it certainly has one of the best foods. However, they have struggled to grow their economy and, accordingly, their stock market. The Italian stock market is currently trading…
What happens in the coming days after a very bad Friday when the stock market goes down? Let’s backtest and find out if we can make any money from it. Friday 22nd of April was a very bad day in…
Investing in international stocks can be a rewarding venture, offering diversification and access to global opportunities. However, the decision to buy stocks when they are at all-time highs can be met with skepticism. But a question arises: Is it profitable…
Gold is one of the most famous commodities in the world and is a great diversifier for those trading mainly stocks. However, its price has gone nowhere in the past decade, so we decided to test some strategies and try…
The Utilities sector is known to outperform the S&P 500 index when there are market downturns, especially during periods of recession. Let’s take a look at the sector and discuss an example of an utilities trading strategy. Utilities trading strategies…
Three german researchers have written a study called Is Poker a Game of Skill or Chance? A Quasi-Experimental Study. I was made aware of this article in Peter Warrens’s blog (only in Norwegian). I totally agree with the content. Most…
The RSI is one of the most popular indicators used in technical analysis. However, most people use it as a mean reversion indicator rather than a momentum indicator. Today, we show you an RSI range-momentum trading strategy. The RSI range-momentum…
Are there any daily seasonalities in the S&P 500? I did some research into SPY, an ETF based on the S&P 500 components and a very good proxy, based average return on which day of the month. To get a…
Mean reversion trading strategies involve identifying assets that have deviated significantly from their historical average price or valuation and then betting on their eventual return or “reversion” to that mean level. Traders using mean reversion trading strategies anticipate that prices…
