The Weekend Trend Trader trading strategy is a mechanical and systematic trading system designed for part-time traders, allowing them to make decisions and manage trades during the weekend when markets are closed. In this article, we explain the Weekend Trend…
What if a straightforward strategy could deliver solid returns with less risk? We backtested a simple trading approach using the SPY ETF, which tracks the S&P 500, and the results are compelling. By buying only after a down week and…
Williams %R was developed by the famous trader and tax rebellion Larry Williams, who has given names to several technical indicators. Last week we wrote about the WilliamsVixFix indicator, and today we are explaining the Williams %R trading strategy and…
Earnings seasons, the quarterly periods when companies release financial results, are known for sparking market volatility. Occurring in January, April, July, and October, these seasons are closely watched by investors aiming to capitalize on price movements. But can these periods…
The stock market has been on fire for the last decade, causing the impression that it reached an all-time high almost every day. However, this is only a perception because all-time highs are quite uncommon. Let’s make an all-time high…
In the fast-paced world of financial markets, traders are always seeking new indicators to perform better technical analysis and improve their trading game — one such indicator is the Range Expansion Index (REI). What do you know about this indicator?…
Ascertaining the market condition is often necessary but can be very difficult, which is why the choppiness index can be very powerful for your trading. What do you know about the choppiness index? The Choppiness Index is an indicator created…
Yes, the turtle trading strategy still works today. It is a trend-following strategy, so it works in markets with clear trends. While the original strategy, which is based on identifying breakouts, still works reasonably well, traders have modified the turtle…
What is a market regime indicator? A market regime indicator is a tool or metric used by investors and analysts to categorize or characterize the current state or condition of a financial market. It helps in understanding whether the market…
What are Market Timing Strategies? Plenty of investors try to time the market. Most are unsuccessful due to a number of reasons. Thus, most investors should not time the market. However, most of the failures can be attributed to a…
How can you hedge against huge losses from totally random and unpredictable events? How can you insure yourself from devastating losses that come out of the blue? This is what tail risk hedging strategies are all about. Tail risks in the stock…
FOMC meetings can have a significant impact on financial markets as decisions on interest rates made during these meetings can influence the direction of monetary policy and market expectations. Many traders look forward to them and trade the immediate volatility…
One of the most important factors in trading is trading volume, as it represents the amount of buying and selling that goes on. One strategy that makes good use of trading volume is the value area trading strategy. What is…
A commodity trading advisor (CTA) is an individual or organization that provides personalized advice and services related to trading in futures contracts, commodity options, and retail off-exchange forex contracts or swaps. It could also be a fund that uses a…
If you have ever looked at a stock chart, you would know that stock prices often swing about, which is why some people trade the swings for quick profits rather than wait out the inevitable downturns. However, most stocks rise…
You can develop and create profitable short-selling strategies and systems, but you can’t expect to find many; they normally trade infrequently. This article presents several short-selling strategies in the S&P 500 (SPY and ES) and consumer staples (XLP). Moreover, we…
The Ichimoku trading strategy uses a technical analysis indicator that defines support and resistance levels, shows the trend direction, and gauges the momentum of the trend. It does this by plotting multiple averages on the price chart, which forms a…
The 9/30 trading strategy is a trend-following strategy that uses two moving averages — a 9-period EMA (exponential moving average) and a 30-period WMA (weighted moving average) — to spot trading opportunities when there is a pullback. The 9-period EMA…
New traders often think that there is that one indicator that would help them make big profits from the market all the time. Unfortunately, there is none, which is why the triple screen strategy was invented to exploit the strong…
A trader in a losing stock position has only a few options: they can close the trade at a loss and look for opportunities elsewhere; they can hold the losing position for a while and hope that the price will…
Many traders look at the gold and S&P 500 ratio. The ratio can be used to create sector rotation strategies are popular. One of the reasons is the anticipation of better and more efficient capital allocation, and perhaps a second…
The dual momentum trading strategy by Gary Antonacci, what is that about? As the Oracle of Omaha, Warren Buffett, once said: “Trying to time the market is the number one mistake to avoid.” It is almost impossible to consistently time…
Trading securities can be as simple as clicking the buy or sell button on your trading device, and the trade orders get executed. While that may be true for retail trading, it may not be so for institutional trading which…
The higher highs and higher lows pattern signals an uptrend. Is this likely to continue or reverse? In almost all markets, the higher high and higher low pattern signals weak future short-term gains. Unfortunately, it doesn’t work as a short…
The lower highs and lower lows pattern signals a downtrend. Is this likely to continue or reverse? What is the meaning of a lower highs and lower lows pattern? In almost all markets, the lower high and lower low pattern…
The Nasdaq E-mini 100 futures contract is an electronically traded stock market index futures contract based on the Nasdaq 100 index — an index of the largest 100 non-financial companies listed on the Nasdaq stock exchange. The index is primarily…
There are many exponential moving average (EMA) strategies, but the 50 EMA strategy is one of the most commonly used among traders in different financial markets. Let’s take a look at this 50 EMA trading strategy. The 50 EMA strategy…
The moving averages are one of the most used technical indicators in the market. However, there are many types of moving averages. Today we are going to be looking at the exponential moving average: 20 EMA trading strategy. The exponential…
There are some indicators you can easily combine to get the best out of the market. The moving average convergence divergence (MACD) and Bollinger Bands combination is one of the best synergic indicator combinations. You can use it to trade…
The domain of breakout trading strategies opens doors to profit from possible changes in market trends. Breakouts are key indicators of trend shifts, providing traders with chances for financial gain. Our detailed guide will take you through multiple approaches enabling…
There are many indicators and tools for technical analysis, but only a few have leading properties like the Fibonacci tools, which is why Fibonacci trading is popular among traders. But how do you trade a Fibonacci trading strategy? A Fibonacci…
Mean reversion trading strategies involve identifying assets that have deviated significantly from their historical average price or valuation and then betting on their eventual return or “reversion” to that mean level. Traders using mean reversion trading strategies anticipate that prices…
Trend following trading strategies aim to profit from existing market trends. They identify trends using technical analysis tools, enter trades in the direction of the trend, and exit when signs of reversal appear. These strategies focus on momentum, use risk…
Trend following has many followers, for some investors and traders trend following is like a religion. But does trend following work? And if so, why does it work? Yes, trend following does work. If we look at history, even simple…
Gold Moving Average Strategy and Trend following systems work. Below we present a very simple trend following system in gold: In this article, we look at how you can use the 12-month (250-day) moving average to outperform the gold price. Gold…
The SPY Small Caps Rotation System focuses on investing in small-cap stocks, typically valued between $250 million and $2 billion. This strategy aims to maximize growth by reallocating funds into these stocks during optimal market conditions. In this article, you…
The 200-day moving average trading strategy is frequently used as an indicator in the financial markets. Who hasn’t heard about the “Death Cross”, “support at the moving averages”, “the trend is positive because the price is above the averages”, etc.? …
The 9 EMA trading strategy is a widely used technical analysis indicator strategy among traders to identify short-term market trends. It involves the use of the 9-period exponential moving average to generate buy and sell signals. The strategy is easy…
The MACD and RSI strategy refers to a trading method that makes use of both indicators in analyzing and trading the markets. The combination of both momentum indicators may give more insight into what the market may do next and…
Today we want to delve into John Ehler’s Trading Strategy and an indicator created by this famous author to investigate financial instruments quantitatively. In August 2006, John Ehlers published an article in Stocks & Commodities titled Modeling The Market =…
The RSI is one of the most popular indicators used in technical analysis. However, most people use it as a mean reversion indicator rather than a momentum indicator. Today, we show you an RSI range-momentum trading strategy. The RSI range-momentum…
Nassim Nicholas Taleb is a world-known statistician, mathematician, philosopher, trader, and investor, and his primary interests evolve around randomness, uncertainty, and probabilities. Taleb came into the limelight after his book called Black Swan became a best seller, but in our…
Backtesting trading strategies refers to the process of evaluating the performance of a trading strategy using historical data to simulate how it would have performed in the past. The steps involved in how to backtest a trading strategy include defining…
NFP reports are known to induce volatility in the financial markets, as well as set the tone for price movements each month. So, it is in your interest as a trader to know how to read the NFP report and…
When stock markets are oversold, we can expect strong returns over the next few days. But in the long term, returns gravitate toward the average returns. Thus, oversold stock markets only predict short-term results, not long-term. We do a backtest…
Here is a Tradingview Pine Script Strategy. TradingView is a popular tool with many traders due to its vast array of tools and features. TradingView uses its native code language, Pine Script, to implement indicators and backtest trading strategies. Here…
Backtested Futures Systems are employed to capitalize on market movements by buying or selling futures contracts. These futures strategies can be broadly categorized into three main types: trend following, mean reversion, and arbitrage. Trend-following strategies involve identifying and riding upward…
Is it correct that copper is a leading indicator for stocks? Can we make a copper vs. stocks strategy? No, copper is most likely not a good leading indicator for stocks. Our copper vs. stocks trading strategy might be due…
In the fast-paced world of semiconductor stocks, the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) offers a unique gateway to this high-growth sector. However, success in trading SMH isn’t just about market exposure—it’s about precision and strategy, preferably backtested. A robust trading plan…
We have updated all our strategies with equity charts and performance metrics/statistics: Trading strategies for sale. We have also added plenty more futures strategies. All bundles are also updated: If you are a first-time customer, we will give you a…
In the ever-changing world of financial markets, technical indicators may help to make decisions quickly, and one such indicator is the Relative Vigor Index (RVI). What do you know about the indicator? The Relative Vigor Index (RVI) is a technical…
Do you want to trade the Nasdaq 100? We bring you 3 trading strategies to help you get started trading. The strategies are backtested on the ETF with the ticker code QQQ, which tracks the Nasdaq 100. We have not…
When the Federal Reserve announces a rate cut, the financial world often holds its breath. But what does this mean for the stock market, particularly the S&P 500, when the FED makes its first-rate cut? A fascinating chart from Goldman…
Introduced by the ISM in 1948, ISM Manufacturing Index, or PMI, is a useful resource for assessing the health of the US manufacturing sector. It is one of the key macroeconomic indicators financial market traders monitor on economic calendars because…
Machine learning trading strategies can predict market trends and make better trading decisions. This guide explains the essential strategies and techniques to leverage machine learning in trading. Key Takeaways **Top Machine Learning Trading Strategies for Predicting Market Trends** Machine learning…
QQQ – TLT Strategy (With backtest and trading rules) A Bond and Nasdaq 100 trading strategy. This strategy trades the NASDAQ 100 and long-term treasury bonds from the long side, using the ticker codes QQQ and TLT. We include interest…
With trading strategies, there are many different ways to trade and as many different types of trading strategies. It’s important to remember that what works well for one person might not yield the same results for you. Conducting thorough data analysis and data-driven backtesting,…
Compounding in trading involves reinvesting your profits for exponential capital growth over time. This blog post will guide you on how progress compounds in trading and present key strategies for maximizing returns. You’ll learn to set effective goals, develop a…
Are all-time highs in the S&P 500 bullish or bearish? This is a common question among investors when the market hits new peaks. Understanding whether new highs signal continued growth or a potential downturn is crucial. In this article, we’ll…
U.S. credit spreads reflect economic conditions and investment risks. High spreads indicate higher risk and economic uncertainty, while low spreads suggest stability. This article explains what U.S. credit spreads high and low: what does it mean, and how they affect…
Today we are presenting three free mean reversion strategies. They were partially published on this website a few years back, and today we make some minor adjustments and present their performance on different ETFs. Furthermore, we discuss why mean reversion…
Gap down trading strategies in stocks capitalize on downward price gaps between trading sessions. This strategy outlines specific entry and exit criteria to exploit these opportunities effectively. Entry occurs on the next trading day if certain conditions are met, while…
Volume-weighted average price strategy backtest Several indicators are used for technical analysis; some of these indicators combine different market data to tell a better story about what the market is doing. The volume-weighted average price (VWAP), which combines both volume…
Below we have a few selected End-Of-Day Trading Strategies. (EOD trading strategies) Since we started writing in 2012 we have presented over 200 free trading strategies, and we present a monthly trading edge for our paying subscribers (which you also…
The stock market is officially open for 6.5 hours daily and has an opening and closing price for each stock. What is the opening price of a stock? The opening price of a stock (or any asset on an exchange)…
Italy is one of the most beautiful countries in the world, and it certainly has one of the best foods. However, they have struggled to grow their economy and, accordingly, their stock market. The Italian stock market is currently trading…
Three german researchers have written a study called Is Poker a Game of Skill or Chance? A Quasi-Experimental Study. I was made aware of this article in Peter Warrens’s blog (only in Norwegian). I totally agree with the content. Most…
This Big Down Day Trading Strategy, centered around the SPY ETF, focuses on identifying significant downward movements and capitalizing on them. By analyzing simple variables like the average difference between daily highs and lows over a specific period, we unveil…
Simple Moving Average Trading Strategy revolves around the use of a simple moving average (SMA), which is a technical analysis tool that helps traders identify the direction of a market trend by averaging the closing prices of a security or…
Stock indexes are widely used as benchmarks for tracking a basket of stocks within a particular sector or segment of the market. Investors use the indexes to assess the overall health of the sector, they compare the performance of their…
The exponential moving average strategy is one of the most commonly used among traders. But do you know what it is? And do you know if an exponential average strategy can be used profitably in the stock market? Backtests indicate…
Today we’ll present a strategy that we first wrote about some years ago – an article called big moves on Mondays – but we have made a small twist to the strategy. We call the strategy for the Big Reversal…
Bond trading strategies are a great inclusion in a portfolio of strategies because they offer diversification and, most likely, uncorrelated returns. Bonds are complementary. First, you might want to have a look at other articles related to bond trading strategies:…
A market-neutral strategy is a type of investment approach that enables an investor to benefit from both rising and falling stock prices. This is achieved by taking long positions in one stock and short positions in another stock. The strategy…
Does trend following work in the S&P 500? We recently came across an article called Breaking into the Blackbox: Trend Following, Stop Losses, and the Frequency of Trading: The Case of the S&P 500. It’s written by academics, but in…
The 5-Day Low Overnight Trading Strategy focuses on trading the S&P 500 when it opens at a 5-day low but closes higher than its opening price. This strategy involves entering trades at the close and exiting when the market opens…
High Probability ETF Trading, published in 2009 and written by Larry Connors and Cesar Alvarez, contains some interesting strategies. They are all mean revertive and tested on the most popular ETFs at the time of writing, which was the end…
Hull moving average strategy backtest Experienced traders know that the best trading indicators are those that can reduce lag, eliminate noise, and quickly respond to sustained market changes. The Hull Moving Average (HMA) seems to tick those boxes. What do…
Is there a safe investment asset strategy? A while back, Meb Faber published a white paper called What Is The Safest Investment Asset. Faber wanted to answer if there is such a thing as the safest asset in the world….
Mean reversion has worked very well on most Western stock indices for about four decades since the advent of futures trading. It has worked even better during the bull market after the financial crisis in 2008/09. Perhaps counterintuitive, long strategies…
This article presents a SPY volume trading strategy. Understanding the significance of trading volume in SPY and the S&P 500 ETF is crucial. This article explores the relevance of volume in SPY trading and presents findings from historical data analysis…
Triple exponential moving average strategy One of the not-so-common moving average indicators used by traders is the triple exponential moving average (TEMA). It is an important trend indicator used by traders to identify trends more closely than a traditional moving…
The world of stock trading is a dynamic and ever-evolving landscape, where traders employ a wide array of strategies to capitalize on market movements. However, sometimes very basic strategies can perform really well. The 5 consecutive higher open trading strategy…
The utility sector has taken a major hit over the last couple of weeks. Below is XLU, the ETF that tracks the sector: But as you can see, it’s not the first time it has “collapsed”, but it has caught…
Meb Faber’s Tactical Asset Allocation strategy is an active trend-following strategy that uses market timings and allocates assets across four asset classes: stocks, bonds, REITs, and commodities. These four asset classes are divided into five categories: U.S. stocks, foreign stocks,…
It’s possible to make Friday Jobs Report trading strategies. One of the most important macro numbers on this planet is the monthly US job report. As a bonus, at the end of this article, we provide you with the code…
Introducing the “3 Day Low Trading Strategy”! This strategy is based on Larry Connors’ double 7 method and aims to capitalize on the stock market’s mean-reverting tendencies. It involves identifying ETFs that close at a 3-day low and have an…
In this article, we present some Larry Williams trading strategies. Larry Williams has marked his name in the register of successful traders. He has authored several books and is very popular in the trading industry. Born on 6th October 1942,…
One of the best edges in the stock market is the overnight edge – the price action from the close until tomorrow’s morning (or close). Is it still working? Can a trend filter improve performance? Empirical evidence – the overnight…
Introduction to the Z-Score Trading Strategy: The Z-Score is a statistical measure used in finance to assess a company’s financial health and its likelihood of bankruptcy. The Z-Score Trading Strategy employs this metric to make improved investment decisions. The Z-Score…
Are there any daily seasonalities in the S&P 500? I did some research into SPY, an ETF based on the S&P 500 components and a very good proxy, based average return on which day of the month. To get a…
Energy sector trading is the process of gaining exposure to multiple stocks in the energy sector as a means of diversification and generating profits. Investment can be done by buying an ETF that tracks the sector or by building a…
Dogs Of The Dow (DOD) Some investment strategies allow you to enjoy maximum dividend income, and Dogs of the Dow is one of such. But what does it really mean and how has it performed lately? Dogs of the Dow…
Bear market strategy refers to the techniques traders and investors use to trade the market during a bear run. They include entry, exit, trade management, and risk management strategies investors use to protect their assets and even make some profits…
Crafting a strategy that adapts to changing conditions is crucial for success. One such strategy gaining attention is the ETF sector rotation trading strategy. In this case, we are going to be focusing on the Consumer Staples and Consumer Discretionary…
A Russell 2000 Death Cross occurs when the 50-day moving average of the Russell 2000 index crosses below its 200-day moving average. This is often seen as a bearish signal, but a new study by Rob Hanna on his blog…
What happens in the coming days after a very bad Friday when the stock market goes down? Let’s backtest and find out if we can make any money from it. Friday 22nd of April was a very bad day in…
Let’s look at at price pattern that shows that Tesla’s stock price booms every time this happens. It doesn’t happen often, but it has worked well so far: Tesla’s Stock Price Booms Every Time This Happens The trading rules are…
Investors and analysts are always looking for ways to analyze the market, and one method of evaluating the current price of a stock to determine whether it is relatively overpriced or underpriced compared to the average trading price for the…
A big part of a successful trading strategy is seasonal trading. As we are about to see, this is especially true in commodities. Today we will look at a silver seasonal trading strategy where we invest only in the best-performing…
