Channel trading can be profitable when used correctly. It can help you to track and speculate on the prevailing market trend, especially if you are a swing trader. But it can also be used in range-bound markets. Both mean-reversion traders and trend-following swing traders can make use of channel trading strategies. Let’s find out what channel trading strategies entail.
Channel trading strategies refer to trading methods that involve using technical indicators or tools that identify areas of support and resistance to know where to look for buying and short-selling setups on the price chart. With these strategies, traders look to go long at support levels and short at resistance levels in anticipation that the price would retrace or reverse after finding support or resistance.
In this post, we take a look at channel trading strategies. At the end of the article, we backtest a channel trading strategy.
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Channel trading strategies
Over the years we have backtested many channel trading strategies. Here are the most obvious examples:
- Bollinger Band trading strategy
- Keltner Bands trading strategy
- Bollinger Band Squeeze Strategy
- Donchian Channels Trading Strategy
- Price Channel Pattern Strategy
- Williams Volatility Channel Strategy
How to set up a channel trading strategy
Setting up a channel trading strategy requires careful planning and analysis of the market. First, you need to understand the market structure. Is the market trending or range-bound? This can help you to decide how to approach the market.
Next, you need to determine how to identify the areas of support and resistance. Are you going to use a channel indicator, such as the Donchian channel and Bollinger Bands, or are you going to use trendlines and horizontal lines (in the case of a range-bound market)? Support is the level at which an asset’s price might stop falling, and resistance is the level at which an asset’s price might stop rising. The lower channel line, Bollinger band, or trendline serves as support, while the upper line/band serves as resistance.
Next, you determine what constitutes a trade setup. It could be a reversal candlestick pattern or a momentum oscillator’s overbought and oversold signals; it can also be a combination of both. After determining the tools to use, you can set the parameters of the strategy.
The strategy can go like this:
- If the market is trending down, take a short position when the price pulls back to a resistance level and forms a bearish reversal candlestick pattern, such as a shooting star or bearish engulfing pattern, or the RSI is descending from the overbought region.
- If the market is range-bound, take a long position at the support level when a reversal signal (bullish reversal candlestick or oversold RSI) appears and a short position at the resistance level when a bearish reversal signal (bearish reversal candlestick or overbought RSI) appears.
Example of channel trading
Let’s show you an example of price channels. The chart below shows the 19-day Bollinger Bands using 2 standard deviations:
As you can see from the chart, almost all price action is within the bands. If you are using a mean reversion strategy, you’d like to fade price action outside the bands.
The importance of trendlines in channel trading
Trendlines are an essential component of channel trading. You can use them to identify key levels of support and resistance in the market by connecting two or more swing points on a chart. The lower trendline, which connects the swing lows, forms the support, while the upper trendline, which connects the swing highs, forms the resistance.
Trendlines can provide a visual representation of the direction and strength of a market trend. You can use them to identify potential entry and exit points in the market, as well as the overall trend direction. When the price of an asset is trending upward, you may look for a buying opportunity near the lower trendline, which acts as support. Conversely, when the price is trending downwards (descending trendlines), you may look for a selling opportunity near the upper trendline, which serves as resistance.
Also, the slope of trendlines can help you determine market volatility levels. A steep trendline may suggest high volatility, while a flat trendline may indicate lower volatility. This information can be useful when planning to adjust position size and risk management strategies.
The role of support and resistance in channel trading
Support and resistance play a critical role in channel trading. In fact, they are the basis of channel trading. The whole idea of channel trading is to seek buying opportunities at the support levels and selling opportunities at the resistance levels.
Support refers to the level at which an asset’s price is expected to stop declining and potentially start rising. This level acts as a floor, showing you where to look for an opportunity to enter a long position when the price finds support.
Resistance, on the other hand, refers to the level at which an asset’s price is expected to stop rising and potentially start falling. This level acts as a ceiling, showing you where to look for an opportunity to enter a short position when the price finds resistance.
By monitoring these key levels, you can get important information about market trends and potential entry and exit points. This can help you make informed decisions about when to enter and exit positions.
However, it’s important to note that support and resistance levels are not static and can change over time based on market conditions. In fact, trendlines and moving averages offer dynamic support and resistance levels that follow the market trend.
The benefits of combining channel trading with other strategies
Combining channel trading with other strategies can provide traders with numerous benefits, including increased accuracy and profitability.
One popular combination is channel trading with trend following. Trend-following strategies involve identifying the direction of a trend and making trades in the same direction. By combining trend following with channel trading, you can use trendlines to confirm the direction of a trend and enter trades when the price reaches key levels of support or resistance.
Another combination is channel trading with the mean-reversion strategy. This works best when the market is range-bound and the channel is horizontal. In this case, you can easily trade in either direction. You short at the resistance level and go long at the support level.
Channels trading can also work with breakout strategies. Here, the idea is to trade the breakout from the channel. If the price breaks above the channel, it is time to go long in anticipation of a rising momentum in the upward direction. If the breakout occurs to the downside, it may signal a time to go short in anticipation of further price decline.
Using multiple timeframes in channel trading
Using multiple timeframes in channel trading can provide you with a more comprehensive view of market conditions and help improve your trading decisions. By analyzing different timeframes, you can get a better understanding of the short-term and long-term market trends.
You may use a longer-term timeframe to determine the overall market trend while using a short-term timeframe to identify potential entry and exit points. This way, you make more informed decisions about the market and also plan your trades well using position sizing and risk management.
For example, you can use the daily chart to identify the overall trend direction and step down to the H4 timeframe to spot your entry and exit points. If the daily chart is showing an uptrend, you may look for a buying opportunity on the H4 or H1 chart near a rising trendline of support. On the other hand, if the overall trend is downward, you can look for selling opportunities at the upper descending trendline, which serves as resistance.
You should know that using multiple timeframes can be very complex and cumbersome. You should have a clear trading plan and strategy to use it effectively.
How to identify and trade channel breakouts
Channel breakouts refer to the price of an asset moving outside of a previously established channel pattern. These breakouts can provide opportunities to enter or exit positions.
To identify a channel breakout, you should first identify the trendlines that define the channel pattern. This can be done by connecting the highs with a trendline and connecting the lows with another trendline. You can also get a channel with indicators like the Donchian channel, Keltner’s channel, and Bollinger Bands. When the price moves outside of the channel, a channel breakout has occurred.
Note that a simple spike through the channel boundary and closing within the channel does not signify a valid breakout. A breakout is defined as when the price closes outside the channel for the trading session. If you are trading on a daily chart, the day’s close must be outside the channel for a breakout to occur. An intraday close (H4 close) outside the channel does not qualify for a breakout when trading on the daily timeframe.
A close about the upper channel line is considered bullish and provides a buying opportunity to benefit from rising upward momentum. On the other hand, a close below the lower channel line gives a bearish signal, providing an opportunity to short the asset and ride the downward momentum.
The dangers of over-reliance on channel trading
The dangers of over-reliance on channel trading are many. These are some of them:
- The market is unpredictable: A trading channel will make you think that the market follows a specific pattern all the time — fall to the support level and reverse and then rise to the resistance level and reverse. But that is far from the truth. The market can snap out of the channel at any moment.
- Lack of adaptability in changing market conditions: Channel patterns are based on past price patterns and changes in market conditions can disrupt these patterns, leading to false signals and poor trading decisions.
- Missed opportunities: Focusing solely on channel patterns may cause you to miss other important technical signals, such as divergences and breakouts, which may provide valuable information about market conditions.
- It cannot guarantee success: As with any other strategy, the fact that the price has been within a channel can never guarantee the success of any trade. No single strategy can guarantee success in the financial markets, so you should never over-rely on channel trading.
The impact of news and events on channel trading
News and events can have a significant impact on channel trading, as they can cause sudden and unexpected price movements. These events can range from economic data releases and central bank policy decisions to geopolitical events and natural disasters.
Since news and events can disrupt the price patterns that channel trading is based on, it can lead to false signals. For example, if you are relying on a channel pattern to identify a potential long position, a negative economic report could cause a sudden drop in the asset’s price, breaking the channel pattern and leading to a loss.
Also, news and events can cause wide price spikes that can mess up your trading, even when the market moves in the anticipated direction. For instance, a price spike can strike through your stop loss and knock you out of the trade, and the price would reverse and move in the way you had anticipated. When this happens frequently to your trades, it could create a feeling of being hunted by the market.
To minimize the impact of news and events on channel trading, you should be aware of the potential impact of upcoming news releases and events and incorporate this information into the trading decision-making process.
Do channels work in trading?
Channels can be an effective tool in trading, but their success is dependent on several factors. Channels are based on the idea that an asset’s price will tend to move within certain boundaries, providing traders with a way to identify potential support and resistance levels and to make informed trading decisions.
However, channel patterns are based on past price patterns, and changes in market conditions can disrupt these patterns, leading to false signals and poor trading decisions. In order to maximize the chances of success with channel trading, you must incorporate other technical analysis, fundamental analysis, and risk management strategies into your trading process.
Another factor to consider is the length of the timeframe used. Channels that are based on longer time frames, such as daily or weekly charts, may provide a clearer and more reliable picture of the market, while channels based on shorter time frames may be more subject to noise and false signals.
However, no single strategy can guarantee success in the financial markets. Channel trading should be used as one tool among many, and you should have a well-diversified portfolio that incorporates multiple strategies and trading tools.
Which is the best channel for trading strategies?
There are many channels for trading strategies, such as trendline-based channels, standard deviation-based channels, Bollinger Bands, Donchian channels, and Kelter’s channels. The best channel for trading strategies is the one you have backtested to confirm that, at least, it worked in the past.
Always make sure to backtest any strategy you develop before you put your money on the line. And if the strategy proves profitable and you want to trade it, start with a small amount and grow gradually. That way, you can protect your capital.
Channel trading strategies backtest – does it work?
Let’s backtest what is arguably the most famous channel trading system: the Bollinger Bands. We make the following trading rules:
- We make a 10-day Bollinger Band 1.5 standard deviations away from the mean (lower band).
- We buy when the close crosses below the lower band.
- We sell when the close crosses above the 10-day moving average.
When we backtest these trading rules, we get the following equity curve on Bitcoin:
Obviously, this is not very impressive, but as expected.
Why expected? Because mean reversion doesn’t work on crypto trading. For crypto, it’s much better to use trend following or momentum strategies due to their very powerful moves.
But let’s show you a channel trading strategy that works: It’s strategy #41 in our member shop. Because the strategy is behind a paywall, we don’t want to reveal its trading rules (obviously). But here’s the performance when we backtest SPY, the ETF that tracks S&P 500:
There are many trades, 515 to be precise, and the average gain per trade is 0.55%. The annual return is 9%, slightly below buy and hold’s 9.7% including dividends reinvested. However, the strategy is invested just 25% of the time, and because of this has substantial lower drawdowns (23% vs 55%).
What is channel trading, and how can it be profitable?
Channel trading involves using technical indicators to identify support and resistance levels on a price chart. It can be profitable for both mean-reversion and trend-following traders, providing opportunities to go long at support and short at resistance.
How do you set up a channel trading strategy?
Setting up a channel trading strategy involves understanding market structure, identifying support and resistance areas, choosing appropriate indicators (like Donchian channel or Bollinger Bands), and defining trade setups based on reversal candlestick patterns or momentum oscillators.
What is the significance of support and resistance in channel trading?
Support and resistance are fundamental to channel trading. Support represents levels where an asset’s price might stop falling, providing buying opportunities, while resistance represents levels where price might stop rising, offering selling opportunities.