Last Updated on August 26, 2021 by Oddmund Groette
We are now entering the best month over the last 20 years in long-term treasuries (TLT) – August. From the last closing price of July until the last in August the average has been a pretty solid 3.23%. This is substantially more than any other month. Four months/years have shown losses, all pretty moderate.
The average gain for winning months is 4.44%, while the average gain for the four years where August showed a loss was -1.01%. TLT, the ETF for long-term treasuries, has this equity curve since 2002 until today, assuming 100 000 in starting capital and being 100% invested in August every year:
For all months it looks like this:
|Per trade %|
Is this table of any use? For me, it’s not, but it might generate some ideas for other users.
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