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The Bottom Of The Range Trading Strategy

During my early days as an investor/trader in the early 90’s, I was told (in many books) that an up day that finishes near the low of the range is a bad sign. Is this true? The only way to find out is by backtesting. Backtesting is the core of what we do and we believe backtesting works.

Let’s test a trading strategy:

The Bottom Of The Range Trading Strategy

Here is the strategy:

  • (c-l)/(h-l) (the IBS) must be lower than 0.1.
  • Today’s close must be higher than yesterday’s.
  • If the above conditions are met, then enter on the close.
  • Exit on the close after 3 days.

Here is the result:

% #trades #wins Avg
10.69 14 12 0.76

The test period is from January 2005 until the present. Here is the equity chart:

After Hanna’s study, this setup has occurred 4 times until the present with these trades: 0.17%, 0.9%, 0.7% and 1.52%. Few trades, but very profitable.

However, setting a higher max on the (c-l)/(h-l) criteria gives a bit more erratic picture. With this indicator set at max 0.33 we get this equity chart:


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