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Last Updated on June 22, 2022 by Oddmund Groette Candlesticks are a popular charting tool and are frequently used by promoters using anecdotal evidence. We use candlesticks in our charts ourselves, but not as a predictive tool in our trading strategies. In this article, we ask: do candlesticks work? Yes, candlesticks work. We test 23 …
Last Updated on June 22, 2022 by Quantified Trading Doji trading strategies are popular and the doji pattern is one of the most famous candlestick patterns. Candlestick patterns have several “derivatives” and can be used together with other bars. There are at least 64 different candlestick patterns that have been given a name, please read …
Last Updated on June 22, 2022 by Oddmund Groette Very few bullish candlestick patterns work, but this article presents 3 bullish candlestick patterns that work. Even though Candlesticks are a popular charting method, very few of the patterns have any predictive value. We use candlesticks extensively ourselves for charting because we believe they give a …
Last Updated on June 21, 2022 by Oddmund Groette In the United States, a presidential election is held every four years. Those presidential elections have been observed to affect many government sectors, including legislation, international relations, and even the stock market. This occurrence inspired the concept of presidential election cycles. But what exactly are they? …
Last Updated on June 22, 2022 by Quantified Trading The Put-Call ratio is a popular sentiment indicator. Extreme readings, mostly signaling panic and climax, are often used as contrarian signals to fade the market. For example, a high put reading might signal that traders and investors are panicking and are buying downside insurance (put options …
Last Updated on June 23, 2022 by Oddmund Groette Turtle trading strategies are a trading approach named after Richard Dennis’ popular trading experiment in 1983. The experiment was to determine whether trading was an inborn skill or could be learned. The turtle trading experiment was a huge success, and the strategy employed by those traders …
Last Updated on June 20, 2022 by Oddmund Groette Dogs Of The Dow (DOD) Some investment strategies allow you to enjoy maximum dividend income, and Dogs of the Dow is one of such. But what does it really mean and how has it performed lately? Dogs of the Dow is a stock-picking strategy for selecting …
Last Updated on June 19, 2022 by Quantified Trading You might wonder which time frame to watch when day trading. Instinctively you might believe you need intraday bars, ie bars 5-minute bars, 60-minute bars, etc. However, after reading this article we hope you are reconsidering. Can you day trade with daily bars? Yes, you can …
Last Updated on June 19, 2022 by Quantified Trading This short-selling strategy bundle consists of three short strategies. The idea and logic work in a variety of assets, not only the three different below. Entries are on the close or the next open (and the same for exits). In all our bundles you will find …
Last Updated on June 19, 2022 by Quantified Trading This bundle consists of three strategies that can be labeled volatility strategies. The idea and logic work in a variety of assets. In all our bundles you will find both Amibroker code, Tradestation code, and the strategy written in plain English. The strategies are long-only due …
Last Updated on June 19, 2022 by Quantified Trading We have put together a “strategy pack” (bundle) of 3 strategies in S&P 500 (SPY or ES). The bundle consists of three strategies that we believe complement each other. In all our bundles you will find both Amibroker code, Tradestation code and the strategy written in …
Last Updated on June 20, 2022 by Oddmund Groette Consumer confidence tries to gauge the temperature of the economy. It swings from pessimism to optimism – just like Mr. Market who is rather manic-depressive. In the US it’s made by the Conference board and it casts doom and gloom on a monthly basis. Consumer confidence …
Last Updated on June 19, 2022 by Quantified Trading Easter is a Christian holiday celebrated across the world. But does it affect trading on the U.S. stock exchanges and other financial markets? We look at how the stock market performs before and after the Easter holiday. Additionally, we specifically look at the performance of stocks …
Last Updated on June 19, 2022 by Quantified Trading Which trading hour is the best? Does the time of day make a difference when trading? When should you buy and sell during the trading day? Seasonal trading strategies can take many forms and in any time frame. This article looks at intraday data for some …
Last Updated on June 19, 2022 by Quantified Trading The Labor Day holiday is one of the federal holidays observed in the US. But does it affect the US financial markets? The US financial markets do not open on the Labor Day holiday, which is the first Monday in September. No trading takes place on …
Last Updated on June 19, 2022 by Quantified Trading The 4th of July (Independence Day) is one of the federal holidays in the US. How does it affect the US financial markets? The US financial markets do not open on the 4th of July, being a federal holiday to mark US independence. No trading takes …
Last Updated on June 19, 2022 by Quantified Trading The Memorial Day holiday is one of the federal holidays in the US. How does it affect trading in the US financial markets? The US financial markets do not open on Memorial Day because it is a federal holiday. Trading does not take place on any …
Last Updated on June 19, 2022 by Quantified Trading George Washington’s Day/Presidents’ Day is one of the federal holidays in the US. But does it affect the US stock market? The US financial markets do not open on George Washington’s Day or Presidents’ Day. Trading does not take place on any of the U.S. stock …
Last Updated on June 19, 2022 by Quantified Trading Martin Luther King Jr. Day is one of the federal holidays observed in the US. How does it affect trading on the US stock markets? The US financial markets do not open on Martin Luther King Jr. Day, which is the third Monday in January. No …
Last Updated on June 19, 2022 by Quantified Trading The founder of Investor’s Business Daily (IBD), William O’Neill developed the CANSLIM method to help him pick the best stocks. In his best-selling book called How To Make Money In Stocks O’Neill went on to describe his method in detail. CANSLIM is a method on how …
Last Updated on June 23, 2022 by Oddmund Groette On this page, we have compiled all the trading strategies we have published since our start in 2012 (plus trading relevant articles). The page contains 80+ free trading strategies plus articles about indicators and trading strategy-specific articles. If you don’t want to browse through all the …
Last Updated on June 19, 2022 by Quantified Trading Nassim Nicholas Taleb is a world-known statistician, mathematician, philosopher, trader, and investor, and his primary interests evolve around randomness, uncertainty, and probabilities. Taleb came into the limelight after his book called Black Swan became a best seller, but in our opinion Fooled By Randomness from 2001 …
Last Updated on June 19, 2022 by Quantified Trading Can you make money on a bullish or bearish AAII market sentiment indicator? When the pessimists turn optimistic and the optimists turn pessimistic a bottom or top is formed. If you understand market sentiment and where traders and investors feel the most pain or euphoria, you …
Last Updated on June 19, 2022 by Quantified Trading How can you hedge against huge losses from totally random and unpredictable events? How can you insure yourself from devastating losses that come out of the blue? This is what tail risk hedging strategies are all about. Tail risks in the stock market are hard to …
Last Updated on June 19, 2022 by Quantified Trading Ray Dalio’s All Weather Portfolio is a pretty well-known portfolio, and for good reasons, in our opinion. Ray Dalio and his team at Bridgewater Associates constructed the All Weather Portfolio to withstand every economic environment (and shocks) possible. What exactly is the All-Weather Portfolio? Which assets …
Last Updated on June 19, 2022 by Quantified Trading Ray Dalio is one of the world’s most known investors. Who is he? How does Ray Dalio invest? What is his famous All-Weather Portfolio? What are Ray Dalio’s investment strategies? These are some of the answers we answer in this article. At the end of the …
Last Updated on June 19, 2022 by Quantified Trading Rory Sutherland Alchemy Summary. The models that dominate all human decision-making today are duly heavy on simplistic logic, and light on magic – a spreadsheet leaves no room for miracles. But what if this approach is wrong? What if, in our quest to recreate the certainty …
Uncorrelated Assets And Strategies – Benefits And Advantages (Non Correlated Examples And Backtests)
Last Updated on June 19, 2022 by Quantified Trading Uncorrelated or non-correlated assets and strategies are a traders’ goldmine. Why? Because it reduces risk and (might) increase returns. However, constructing a basket of stocks, assets, or strategies that are uncorrelated or non-correlated is probably the most difficult task in trading and investing. In this article, …
Last Updated on June 19, 2022 by Quantified Trading Quadruple witching day (quad witching)- facts vs myths. Because the quadruple witching day is surrounded by presumable myths, we would like to dig deeper into these rare days that happen only four times per year. Is quadruple witching a volatile day? Is the volume higher than …
Last Updated on June 19, 2022 by Quantified Trading Hendrik Bessembinder, an academic, published a study in 2017 that went on to become widely spread and known. His hypothesis was pretty straightforward: do stocks outperform Treasury Bills? No, most stocks fail to beat one-month Treasury Bills during their lifetime as a public company, a fact …
Gold Moving Average Strategy – Best Trend Following System for Gold Trading (Backtest and Statistic)
Last Updated on June 19, 2022 by Quantified Trading Gold Moving Average Strategy and Trend following systems work. Below we present a very simple trend following system in gold: In this article, we look at how you can use the 12-month (250-day) moving average to outperform the gold price. Gold spends most of the time going …
Last Updated on June 22, 2022 by Oddmund Groette If you are having problems downloading purchased trading strategies, please make sure you are logged in. You can purchase our monthly Trading Edges/strategies one by one or in discounted bundles (this page contains the monthly Trading Edges one by one): Buy one strategy for 149 USD. …
The Best Moving Average Indicator – A Comparison and Backtest of all variants of MA Trading Strategy
Last Updated on June 19, 2022 by Quantified Trading Moving average trading strategies are widely discussed and used in the media and likewise frequently used by analysts when making calls about the future. What is a moving average and can we find profitable moving average strategies on stocks? Backtests reveal that moving averages work best …
Last Updated on June 19, 2022 by Quantified Trading Any stock investor or trader should have a basic understanding of the relationship between stocks and interest rates. Why? Because the interest rates influence investors’ risk appetite. When interest rates are high, you need to pay more for a company’s earnings (thus a lower PE ratio). …
Last Updated on June 19, 2022 by Quantified Trading The relationship between stocks and interest rates is at the center of financial theory. Why? Because the interest rates determine the value of stocks. High rates equal less appetite for owning risky assets, and investors will only own risky assets if they are compensated for taking …
Last Updated on June 19, 2022 by Quantified Trading Since the emergence of the internet, algorithmic trading has come to dominate the financial trading world, but what percentage of trading is actually algorithmic? About 60-75 percent of overall trading volume in the U.S. equity market, European financial markets, and major Asian capital markets is generated …
Last Updated on June 19, 2022 by Quantified Trading Meb Faber, a famous money manager and writer, has several times stated he is a trend follower at heart. Back in 2015, he published an article about momentum and trend-following strategy called Meb Faber’s Three-Way Model in gold, stocks, and bonds– a model that Meb Faber …
Last Updated on June 19, 2022 by Quantified Trading There are plenty of potential option strategies, and one of them is selling puts. In this article, we look at how you can make money by writing or selling puts. Is selling puts a good trading strategy? Selling puts might be good for you if you …
Last Updated on June 19, 2022 by Quantified Trading Covered calls look tempting when interest rates and dividend yields are down because many investors and traders look for additional ways to generate “income”. Many pundits promise both good returns and “income” if you issue call options on your positions – so-called covered calls. Can you …
Last Updated on June 19, 2022 by Quantified Trading When stock markets are oversold, we can expect strong returns over the next few days. But in the long term, returns gravitate toward the average returns. Thus, oversold stock markets only predict short-term results, not long-term. We do a backtest to prove our point. When there …
Last Updated on June 19, 2022 by Quantified Trading The NR7 trading strategy is a strategy that is both well-known and popular. If you do a search on the internet you get multiple hits on the strategy. To our knowledge, the strategy was first developed by Tony Crabel as long back as 1990. The NR7 …
Last Updated on June 19, 2022 by Quantified Trading Mark Spitznagel, Safe Haven – Investing For Financial Storms: What role can risk-mitigating and defensive assets play in a portfolio? Do we use them only to seek shelter until the passing of financial storms? Contrary to what we learn at schools and universities, can higher returns …
Last Updated on June 21, 2022 by Oddmund Groette Is the stock market a zero-sum game? You frequently hear media refer to games and markets as zero-sum games. Yes, we define the stock market as a zero-sum game, both in the short and in the long term, although it technically is incorrect. A zero-sum game …
Last Updated on June 19, 2022 by Quantified Trading Trading bias, you better have an understanding of the most common ones. When your money is at risk, you easily get fooled by your behavioral biases. Trading is about decision-making, and you better understand your strengths, weaknesses, and what puts your emotions on fire. This article …
Last Updated on June 19, 2022 by Quantified Trading Why Trading Strategies Don’t Work In Live Trading. Trading strategies perform poorly in live trading mainly because of behavioral mistakes, curve fitting, survivorship bias, and improper trading size changes. It’s hard to replicate an unbiased backtest to live trading. If you have spent considerable time developing …
Last Updated on June 19, 2022 by Quantified Trading Quantitative trading or Quant trading has both pros and cons. In this article, we look at 8 pros and cons of quant trading. Even though we list both 8 pros and cons of quant trading, we believe the pros far outweigh the cons. The main reason …
Last Updated on June 19, 2022 by Quantified Trading A lot of the best traders use some kind of mechanical trading strategies and rules in their trading. “Mechanical” implies that the rules are based on some kind of objective rules, usually quantified data. The trader should follow these rules exactly without hesitation or emotion. In …
Last Updated on June 19, 2022 by Quantified Trading We have been investing and trading for about 21 years, but not until now have we ever looked at a pivot points trading strategy. We can read a lot about pivot points in certain media magazines and by stock commentators but have seen very little backtesting …
Last Updated on June 19, 2022 by Quantified Trading This very short article defines what a stop-loss is. We conclude stop-losses seldom work and it’s better to diversify across asset classes and time frames. We quote what Larry Connors and Curtis Faith say about stop-losses. What is a stop-loss? Risk management is a very important …
Last Updated on June 19, 2022 by Quantified Trading We have been full-time traders and investors for over 20 years (successfully), and we believe we can offer some insights and help – no matter what trading-related issues you struggle with. Trading is a very lonely job, and getting feedback can be of tremendous value. You …
Last Updated on June 19, 2022 by Quantified Trading What are the Donchian Channels and do they work on stocks? The Donchian Channels were invented by Richard Donchian decades ago. They are still a popular tool for traders, but the markets have changed a lot since Donchian’s invention. The Donchian Channels (or bands) are formed …
Last Updated on June 19, 2022 by Quantified Trading Does your trading strategy complement your portfolio of strategies? That is the first thing you should address if you are considering adding more trading strategies. Perhaps surprisingly, many strategies don’t complement each other because they are too similar and overlapping. Thus, you might end up adding …
Last Updated on June 19, 2022 by Quantified Trading This article looks at how to trade live and automated with Amibroker via Interactive Brokers. We have been using Amibroker for live automated trading for a few years, without any problems worth mentioning. Automatic trading with Amibroker and Interactive Brokers is relatively easy. You need to …
Last Updated on June 19, 2022 by Quantified Trading Exponential moving average strategy and backtest The exponential moving average is one of the most commonly used among traders. But do you know what it is? And do you know if an exponential average strategy can be used profitably in the stock market? Backtests indicate that …
Last Updated on June 19, 2022 by Quantified Trading Hull moving average strategy backtest Experienced traders know that the best trading indicators are those that can reduce lag, eliminate noise, and quickly respond to sustained market changes. The Hull Moving Average (HMA) seems to tick those boxes. What do you know about the indicator? Is …
Last Updated on June 19, 2022 by Quantified Trading Linear-weighted moving average strategy backtest Moving averages are a technical analysis tool that smooths price data over a specific period. They come in different types, and each type has its advantages and limitations. The linear-weighted moving average is one of the common ones. But do you …
Last Updated on June 19, 2022 by Quantified Trading Simple moving average strategy backtests Moving averages are one of the most commonly used indicators in technical analysis, and the simple moving average is the easiest one to construct. Do you know what it is? Can you make profitable simple moving average strategies in the markets? …
Last Updated on June 19, 2022 by Quantified Trading Adaptive moving average strategy backtest (Kaufman’s adaptive moving average) We know that traditional moving averages smoothen price series to reduce noise and show the trend. However, when price makes a temporary but significant leap, it can still give the appearance of a false trend. This is …
Last Updated on June 19, 2022 by Quantified Trading Smoothed moving average (Wilder’s) strategy backtest The smoothed moving average is not as common as other moving average indicators, but you will come across it in your trading journey. So, it’s good to know what it means. Can a smoother moving average be used profitably in …
Last Updated on June 19, 2022 by Quantified Trading Variable moving average strategy backtest Traders have always looked for ways to improve the performance of exponential moving average, and using a volatility index (VI) to adjust the smoothing period as market conditions change has given rise to the variable moving average. But do you know …
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Last Updated on June 20, 2022 by Quantified Trading