The Chaikin Oscillator Indicator was developed by Marc Chaikin in the 1980s. It’s not widely used nor well-known, perhaps for good reasons: we didn’t manage to find any significant profitable Chaikin Oscillator Trading Strategy in any of the quantified tests we…
Adapted from the original article by Ben Carlson on A Wealth of Common Sense. Investing in the stock market isn’t a guarantee of smooth gains. Instead, it’s a mathematical game of odds, and understanding those odds is critical for long-term…
Technical indicators offer powerful insights into what is happening in the market. While price is a factor in technical analysis, volume is as important as price as this tells traders the level of activity on a given security. The On-Balance…
The exponential moving average strategy is one of the most commonly used among traders. But do you know what it is? And do you know if an exponential average strategy can be used profitably in the stock market? Backtests indicate…
History of Retail Trading and Democratization of Trading has seen a revolutionary transformation over the last few decades, shifting from being the exclusive domain of professional traders and institutional investors to becoming accessible to everyday investors. The advent of the…
The “Lazy Man’s Momentum Strategy” stands out for its simplicity. The rules are straightforward: every six months, the strategy looks at 22 country indices and buys the 11 with the highest 6-month return. This is a strategy we first identified…
History of Retail Trading and Democratization of Trading has seen a revolutionary transformation over the last few decades, shifting from being the exclusive domain of professional traders and institutional investors to becoming accessible to everyday investors. The advent of the…
How and when should you exit a trade? Most articles about trading center around when to buy (or sell short) or how to deal with the psychological aspects. Hardly anything can be found about exits, even though when to exit…
Opening range breakout trading strategies (ORB) are popular strategies, perhaps because of Tony Crabel’s classical trading book published in 1990: Day trading With Short Term Price Patterns And Opening Range Breakout. 31 years after it was published, we still see…
History of the commodity market shows that, whether you trade commodities or not, you directly or indirectly interact with this market every day through the foods and resources you use. It’s fascinating to explore how the commodity market evolved over…
The history of algorithmic trading shows that by 2013, about 70% of US equities were traded using algorithms, according to analysts, and this number has continued to grow over the years. However, algorithmic trading didn’t emerge out of nowhere; understanding…
DefinitionThe Relative Vigor Index (RVI) is a momentum oscillator that helps traders identify when an asset’s closing price is positioned strong or weak relative to its trading range. Whether you’re analyzing currency pairs, stocks, or cryptocurrencies, the RVI indicator provides…
The best algo trading strategies are those that are data-driven, backtested, and robust across market conditions, rather than optimized for a single scenario. Proven approaches include trend-following, momentum, mean reversion, and statistical arbitrage, combined with diversification and strict risk management…
For decades, traders have used momentum strategies, the idea that past winners keep winning, to find success in equity, currency, and commodity markets. While most research focuses on long-term trends over months or years, a groundbreaking study by Wen et…
The best currency pairs for trading are the “majors”—EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF and AUD/USD, as they offer the highest liquidity, tightest spreads, and lowest volatility, making them ideal for beginners and consistent, technical strategies. EUR/USD is the most traded pair,…
When bonds go down and interest rates go up stocks perform poorly. A lower price for the bond means that the yield and interest rates go up, and future cash flows get discounted at a higher rate. Rising interest rates…
In addition to “The Disciplined Trader,” Mark Douglas also authored another influential book titled “Trading in the Zone*.*” Published in 2001, this book further expanded on the principles of trading psychology and explored the importance of cultivating a mindset that…
Backtesting a futures strategy is one of those essential practices that can make the difference between consistent gains and unexpected losses in the fast-paced world of trading. Imagine having a roadmap that shows how your ideas would have played out…
Crude oil (WTI) futures are highly liquid and volatile. The CME Group highlights that WTI (NYMEX) is “the world’s most liquid crude oil contract,” trading well over 1 million contracts per day. This deep liquidity attracts traders globally. NYMEX (now…
The history of trading in stock market systems traces back to 1300s Venice and evolves into today’s electronic markets. This article explores key milestones, from the first stock exchange in Antwerp to modern giants like NYSE and Nasdaq. Discover how…
(Source) As the gaming sector continues to undergo significant transformation, assessing gaming stocks requires a more detailed understanding of this burgeoning sector’s multi-layered dynamics. In 2026, various factors will influence which gaming stocks might perform well, and being aware of…
In the ever-changing landscape of financial markets, traders sometimes refabricate old indicators to improve their market analysis and spot trend changes in time — one such indicator is the Composite Index Divergence Indicator (CIDI). What do you know about the…
In a recent research paper titled “Returns to Constant Leverage Strategies: General Principles and Application to Levered Single-Stock ETFs,” Professor Hendrik Bessembinder of Arizona State University provides a deep dive into the mechanics and risks of the rapidly growing levered…
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NdnJX4kjPQM Imagine a trading strategy so simple it takes just five minutes a year to manage, yet it has outperformed the Nasdaq for over a decade. That’s exactly what @thechartist showed on X. This strategy, pairing two ETFs with a…
A recent quantitative study examined the feasibility of generating abnormal returns (alpha) in the highly specialized commodity futures market by utilizing common technical indicators: the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) and the Relative Strength Index (RSI). This research investigated whether…
Christmas Day is one of the federal holidays in the US. It’s a well-known “fact” that there is normally a Santa Claus rally in stocks, but do we see the same tendencies in the gold price? Is there a Christmas/Santa…
Christmas Day is one of the federal holidays in the US. But how does it affect the US financial markets? Is there a Santa Claus rally in stocks? Can we develop trading strategies for this holiday season? Our trading strategy…
(Source) Trading simulations offer a clean way to see probability at work when outcomes feel uncertain. Markets and casino games look different, yet both run on the same arithmetic. A 2023 review from Insider Monkey pointed to probability and statistics…
This article challenges the conventional wisdom that long-term investing in triple leveraged ETFs (TLETFs) is an “anathema” due to issues like daily rebalancing and “beta slippage” or the “constant leverage trap,” which often lead to poor long-term performance. We show…
It is important to be able to identify the beginning of a new trend; equally, it is also important to be able to identify the end of a trend. A well-timed entry fits perfectly with a well-timed exit. The parabolic…
For many, the approach is to buy low and sell high. But that is not the case with the 52-week high trading strategy – you do the opposite. What is the 52-week high trading strategy? The 52-week high strategy is…
Understanding volume and price, and how they can influence the market, is very important in trading. Since volume is the measure of activities in the market, traders can use the information provided to increase the probability of their trades. A…
Event-driven crypto trading is all about anticipating price moves based on major events across a blockchain, project, or the wider market. While regular traders stare at charts all day, hoping a green candle will magically change their lives, event traders…
How a psychological bias – the repurchase effect – predicts lower future stock returns. We show you a investor regret trading strategy. Have you ever sold a stock too early and watched it soar—and felt that pang of regret? What…
What Is the Laguerre RSI? This article is a practical short guide for traders. The Laguerre RSI is a lesser-known but highly effective momentum indicator developed by John Ehlers. It aims to improve on the traditional Relative Strength Index (RSI)…
Forget gold and options: This Factor-Based Strategy Is the Ultimate Crisis-Proof Investment (plus trend/following). A common investment strategy involves balancing risk and return with a traditional portfolio split: 60% stocks (equities) and 40% bonds (the 60/40 portfolio). While this portfolio…
In this article, we backtest Larry Connors‘ 3 day high/low Method/Strategy. How has the strategy performed since it was revealed in his book in 2009? The 3 day high/low method/strategy performed well in Connors’ book, and it still works pretty…
Backtesting is among the most valuable tools available to today’s traders. By applying a trading idea to historical market data, you can estimate how it might have performed before committing real capital. This process not only highlights potential returns but,…
Can we develop a Thanksgiving holiday seasonal trading strategy? Is Thanksgiving bullish or bearish for stocks? Thanksgiving Day is one of the federal holidays in the US. The day after Thanksgiving is called Black Friday and is a day when consumers…
Among the tools available for analyzing the markets, oscillators are some of the most interesting for tracking the momentum of individual price swings — one that seems to do a damn good job is the Pretty Good Oscillator (PGO). What…
The triangle pattern is one of the common chart patterns you will encounter when analyzing stocks for short-term trading, and the most reasonable way to trade the pattern is the breakout strategy. What is the breakout triangle strategy? The triangle…
Hindenburg Omen Indicator Trading Strategy: how do you use it and what is it? Stock market crashes can wipe out traders’ and investors’ profits or even put them at a huge loss in no time. If you have been in…
Chart patterns can help you understand the condition of the market. The double top pattern can warn you about a market peak, but do you know what it is and how to identify it? The double top chart pattern trading…
Super Bowl Sunday is more than the biggest night in American sports. It is a cultural event that drives massive consumer spending on food, beverages, advertising, and merchandise. Investors often watch how certain companies perform around the game to gauge…
Learning how to accurately identify and analyze the double bottom chart pattern trading strategy can help you read market conditions and determine when to look for buying opportunities. But what is this double bottom chart pattern? The double bottom chart…
Just as traders use technical indicators to attempt to predict the future direction of an asset, quantitative analysts also utilize various statistical and mathematical models to forecast the future values of assets, with one of these models being the Kalman…
There are countless technical indicators that traders look at. Among the most popular that try to gauge momentum are the RSI and the stochastic indicator. However, today, we will learn about one that is not so well-known: Chande momentum oscillator…
Most traders understand strategy. The challenge shows up after the strategy meets a real market week. A plan looks clean on paper, then price spikes, spreads widen, a headline hits, and a perfectly reasonable setup starts to feel “too slow”…
If you’ve dipped your toes into cryptocurrency, you know how wild the market can be. Unlike traditional assets like stocks, which are tied to company fundamentals, crypto prices are driven almost entirely by simple supply and demand. This reliance means…
Gaps are a common feature in financial markets, and traders often wonder what happens after a gap down at the open. Does the stock market usually keep falling, or does it bounce back during the day? There is a 47%…
The magic behind Jim Simons’ trading strategies consists of collecting an enormous amount of data and analyzing the data to find statistical patterns and non-random events in a wide range of markets. Furthermore, Jim Simons and Renaissance Technologies have put…
Gold trading is about profiting from price changes in gold. This guide covers key price drivers, effective strategies, and essential tools to help you trade successfully. Gold prices are driven by factors like interest rates, geopolitical risks, and central bank…
Connors RSI trading strategy often referred to as CRSI, is a momentum-based oscillator and indicator that tries to improve on the original 14-period RSI indicator developed by Welles Wilder. Unlike the original 14-period RSI indicator, the CRSI uses 2 periods…
The Copper/Gold ratio trading strategy seems to offer good entry points for both copper and gold. We backtest the ratio and find positive results for the next one to 12 months after a signal is triggered. Copper and gold are…
Profit Factor is a key performance metric used in trading to assess the profitability of a trading system or strategy. It’s calculated by dividing the total profit generated by winning trades by the total loss incurred from losing trades. Essentially,…
Today we test Larry Connors‘ R3 strategy and we continue backtesting the trading strategies Larry Connors and his team published in 2009 in a book called High Probability ETF Trading. All the strategies were tested on a basket of 20…
In this post, we’ll walk you through three long-term trading strategies that aim to reduce drawdowns, ride bull markets, and potentially outperform buy-and-hold with less stress. These are the 3 long-term strategies that work: 1. The 200-Day Moving Average Strategy…
The Adaptive Grid Trading Strategy enhances traditional grid trading by dynamically adjusting grid deployment using ATR Percentile ranking, a normalized volatility metric. Designed for cryptocurrency markets, it enables consistent application across assets like Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and Solana (SOL)…
There are different types of tools and indicators professional traders can use to track markets and price action, but oscillators seem to suit swing traders more, which is why the Gator Oscillator was created from the already existing Alligator indicator….
In the world of finance, professional financial analysts play an important role, directing the allocation of capital through in-depth research. When analyzing a company, analysts typically conclude their reports with a recommendation, usually categorized as strong buy, buy, hold, sell,…
The phenomenon known as the overnight effect or overnight drift is a significant topic in quantitative finance, referring to the tendency of asset returns during non-trading hours to exhibit substantial patterns. This drift has been well-documented across numerous asset classes,…
What is the MAR Ratio and Why Should You Care? The MAR Ratio (Managed Accounts Report Ratio) is arguably one of the most important yet underutilized performance metrics in trading and investing. Named after the Managed Accounts Report newsletter, where…
Why day traders fail boils down to at least 16 reasons. This article explains why day traders fail and what you can do to survive and perhaps even prosper. Why day traders fail is mainly because they don’t understand the…
The lunchtime effect in the stock market, particularly in the U.S., refers to a noticeable pattern where trading volumes and returns drop during lunch hours, typically between 11:30 AM and 1:00 PM. This phenomenon has been observed across various markets…
Few market forecasting tools have sparked as much fascination—and controversy—as the Benner Cycle. Developed more than a century ago, the Benner Cycle claims to identify recurring patterns in market tops, bottoms, and periods of economic stress. Despite its age, it…
In systematic trading, the assumption that a signal computed at the market close should be executed at the next day’s open is widespread. For many strategies with holding periods measured in weeks or months, this workflow is acceptable. However, for…
The relationship between gold mining shares and gold bullion is often misunderstood. While gold miners move with gold prices because their revenue depends on the price of gold, they exhibit a clear long-term underperformance compared to the physical metal. We…
Market participants often discover that digital asset price movements are not distributed evenly throughout the day, with specific hours exhibiting higher volatility and liquidity. By identifying these recurring temporal patterns, you can determine whether execution timing can influence the statistical…
A recent academic paper titled “An Information Factor: What Are Skilled Investors Buying and Selling?” introduces a fascinating, evidence-backed trading strategy that builds on a deceptively simple premise: Follow the money — but not just any money. Follow the informed…
One of the most challenging tasks in forex trading has always been catching market turning points. Reversals are situations in which trending moves lose momentum and the price moves in the opposite direction, often quickly and more violently. Old-fashioned traders…
The increasing accessibility of computational power and public data has recently spurred greater investor reliance on technical analysis techniques. This environment makes it feasible to evaluate and back-test various trading methodologies thoroughly. Technical analysis aims to derive an optimized approach…
In the long term, gold has proved itself as an inflation hedge, but not in the short term. Gold is often viewed as the world’s oldest financial asset, possessing a reputation as a crucial safe-haven asset, particularly during times of…
Why Bitcoin is Called ‘Digital Gold’ Bitcoin is a relatively new asset, having debuted with the white paper by Satoshi Nakamoto in 2008. While gold has existed throughout human history, Bitcoin has quickly grown, achieving a market value of over…
The options market has traditionally been considered the domain of sophisticated institutional investors, but recent years have seen a dramatic shift. Facilitated by the advent of zero-commission trading on apps like Robinhood, retail investor activity in U.S. options has soared,…
The $3.5 billion “secret”: how a bias skews S&P 500 option payoffs every month! In this blog post, we tell you how retail and prop traders make money on the options expiration day (OPEX). For investors and traders in the S&P…
In an age dominated by machine learning, high-frequency trading (HFT), AI, and complex black box models, it’s easy to believe that only the most sophisticated strategies have any edge left. But it’s not! If simple can succeed, why complicate things?…
When traders think about diversification, they often focus on spreading risk across different stocks, sectors, or asset classes. But few consider the powerful benefits of adding gold strategies to their trading portfolio. Gold has historically behaved differently from equities, bonds,…
The systematic global macro investment style, labeled Macro Momentum, is grounded in economic theory and aims to capitalize on the tendency of market participants to underreact to news by positioning on the basis of fundamental macroeconomic trends. In general, such…
While retail participation in financial markets has surged since the mid-2000s, especially following the 2020 pandemic and events like the 2021 GameStop short squeeze, retail traders often face the daunting challenge of competing with high-frequency trading (HFT) algorithms. Finding proven…
The Recession Fear Index (RFI) is proposed as a direct measure of recession concerns based on Google search activity. The development of the RFI is premised on the shift toward active information-seeking by market participants. The search frequency data derived…
Traditional equity and commodity markets frequently exhibit a well-documented pre-holiday effect, where returns on trading days immediately preceding public holidays tend to outperform other days. This anomaly is classified as one of the most substantial calendar effects in the stock…
The worst week of the year for stocks is the last week of September, after the third Friday of the month. September is a poor month for stocks, especially the week after OPEX day, which is the third Friday of…
In recent years, the cryptocurrency market has rapidly transformed from a niche innovation into a significant segment of the global financial system. By March 2025, its total market capitalization soared past $3 trillion, with over 100 cryptocurrencies individually exceeding $1…
This post looks into a recent study titled “Does Trend Following Still Work on Stocks?” by Zarattini, Pagani, and Wilcox, which extends the foundational 2005 work by Wilcox and Crittenden. We emphasize that we at QuantifiedStrategies.com have NOT backtested or…
Have you ever wondered if it’s possible to profit from stocks that experience significant one-day drops? New research sheds light on economically significant short-term price reversals, offering insights for traders looking to refine their strategies and potentially achieve substantial returns:…
Why the health market is a trader’s goldmine Hunting for the next big trade? The health market is set to hit $5.2 trillion by late 2025 (Statista, 2025), with a steady 6.8% annual growth (WHO, 2025). Backtests from 300 traders…
Is gold truly the inflation-proof sanctuary many believe it to be? While its allure as a safeguard against rising prices has long been celebrated, particularly after the turbulent 1970s, recent comprehensive analysis reveals a far more nuanced reality. Far from…
Do you sometimes wonder what separates successful traders from the 90% who fail? The answer isn’t better market predictions or secret indicators – it’s understanding the mathematics behind trading success. Most retail traders approach markets trying to predict where prices…
A study called Market Intraday Momentum by Lei Gao, Yufeng Han, Sophia Li, and Guofo Zhou reveals a significant and consistent pattern in market behavior: intraday momentum. This phenomenon shows that the market’s performance in the first half-hour of trading…
Most traders fear falling prices. But a downtrend can also be a blessing in disguise, especially with crypto. Volatility cuts both ways. Knowing how to act when markets decline lets you protect your capital and seize profit opportunities, even amid…
An index rebalance trading strategy is a trading strategy that seeks to exploit the price movements of stocks that are being added to or removed from a major market index. Index funds, which are passively managed funds that track a…
Imbalance trading strategy, also known as order imbalance trading, is a “technical analysis” approach that utilizes the imbalance between buy and sell orders to identify potential trading opportunities. This strategy is based on the premise that large imbalances, especially when…
The stock market seems to move in a highly chaotic way, but on closer observation, you will notice that the movements follow a certain repeating pattern over the long term, as suggested by the Dow Theory. What do you know…
Since 1993, all the gains in the S&P 500 have come from owning the index from the close to the open the next day. We see the same tendency in the gold markets. Thus, we can develop night trading strategies…
The Center of Gravity (COG) oscillator stands out in the crowded field of technical indicators as a rare predictive tool that aims to anticipate price movements rather than simply react to them. Unlike most lagging indicators that confirm trends after…
While traditional equity markets have shown diminishing overnight return anomalies since 2008, cryptocurrency markets tell a dramatically different story. Recent analysis reveals that virtually all Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) returns occur during overnight hours when US equity markets are…
Correlation in trading strategies , which measures the relationship between two datasets, is an essential variable for a trader. How your positions move in relation to other positions is crucial to understanding and managing risk. Correlation in trading means how…
Investing and trading for the long term, even in the most promising assets, invariably involves enduring periods of significant price declines, known as drawdowns. A drawdown is defined as the price decrease from a peak to a trough. As Charlie…
Hendrik Bessembinder, an academic, published a study in 2017 that went on to become widely spread and known. His hypothesis was pretty straightforward: do stocks outperform Treasury Bills? No, most stocks fail to beat one-month Treasury Bills during their lifetime…
Can a single trading rule really beat the market? It sounds too simple to be true, but our backtests suggest otherwise. In this article, we explore whether one straightforward rule can outperform buy-and-hold investing, both in stocks and in crypto….
