This article shows a rotation strategy between healthcare stocks and the S&P 500. The trading idea is pretty simple, but it beats the buy and hold of the S&P 500. Moreover, we believe this strategy is more rational than at…
The world of stock trading is a dynamic and ever-evolving landscape, where traders employ a wide array of strategies to capitalize on market movements. However, sometimes very basic strategies can perform really well. The 5 consecutive higher open trading strategy…
Three german researchers have written a study called Is Poker a Game of Skill or Chance? A Quasi-Experimental Study. I was made aware of this article in Peter Warrens’s blog (only in Norwegian). I totally agree with the content. Most…
Triangular moving average strategy backtest Moving averages are the most common and useful technical indicators in forex trading, owing to their effect in smoothening out price movements and showing the actual direction of the trend. There are various types of…
Stock indexes are widely used as benchmarks for tracking a basket of stocks within a particular sector or segment of the market. Investors use the indexes to assess the overall health of the sector, they compare the performance of their…
What are the worst days of the year for trading stocks? Let’s find out and test from the year 2000. We did a backtest where we optimized the month and trading day to find the WORST trading days for the…
The utility sector has taken a major hit over the last couple of weeks. Below is XLU, the ETF that tracks the sector: But as you can see, it’s not the first time it has “collapsed”, but it has caught…
I believe experience is the most important asset for any speculator. In this article, I explain why experience matters in trading. It’s simple: the longer you survive, the fitter and stronger you get, and thus more fit to prey on…
Triple exponential moving average strategy One of the not-so-common moving average indicators used by traders is the triple exponential moving average (TEMA). It is an important trend indicator used by traders to identify trends more closely than a traditional moving…
Identifying core strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats leads to fact-based analysis, fresh perspectives, and new ideas, which are the benefits of a SWOT analysis. SWOT analysis is a technique for assessing the performance, competition, risk, and potential of a business,…
What happens in the coming days after a very bad Friday when the stock market goes down? Let’s backtest and find out if we can make any money from it. Friday 22nd of April was a very bad day in…
Gold is one of the most famous commodities in the world and is a great diversifier for those trading mainly stocks. However, its price has gone nowhere in the past decade, so we decided to test some strategies and try…
This Big Down Day Trading Strategy, centered around the SPY ETF, focuses on identifying significant downward movements and capitalizing on them. By analyzing simple variables like the average difference between daily highs and lows over a specific period, we unveil…
Volume-weighted average price strategy backtest Several indicators are used for technical analysis; some of these indicators combine different market data to tell a better story about what the market is doing. The volume-weighted average price (VWAP), which combines both volume…
The Utilities sector is known to outperform the S&P 500 index when there are market downturns, especially during periods of recession. Let’s take a look at the sector and discuss an example of an utilities trading strategy. Utilities trading strategies…
One of the best edges in the stock market is the overnight edge – the price action from the close until tomorrow’s morning (or close). Is it still working? Can a trend filter improve performance? Empirical evidence – the overnight…
Investing in international stocks can be a rewarding venture, offering diversification and access to global opportunities. However, the decision to buy stocks when they are at all-time highs can be met with skepticism. But a question arises: Is it profitable…
The 5-Day Low Overnight Trading Strategy focuses on trading the S&P 500 when it opens at a 5-day low but closes higher than its opening price. This strategy involves entering trades at the close and exiting when the market opens…
Zero-lag exponential moving average strategy backtest (ZLEMA) The moving average is no doubt one of the most widely used technical indicators. While there are different traditional types, many variations are being created all the time to improve on the old…
Investors and analysts are always looking for ways to analyze the market, and one method of evaluating the current price of a stock to determine whether it is relatively overpriced or underpriced compared to the average trading price for the…
It’s possible to make Friday Jobs Report trading strategies. One of the most important macro numbers on this planet is the monthly US job report. As a bonus, at the end of this article, we provide you with the code…
Crafting a strategy that adapts to changing conditions is crucial for success. One such strategy gaining attention is the ETF sector rotation trading strategy. In this case, we are going to be focusing on the Consumer Staples and Consumer Discretionary…
This article presents a SPY volume trading strategy. Understanding the significance of trading volume in SPY and the S&P 500 ETF is crucial. This article explores the relevance of volume in SPY trading and presents findings from historical data analysis…
Below we have a few selected End-Of-Day Trading Strategies. (EOD trading strategies) Since we started writing in 2012 we have presented over 200 free trading strategies, and we present a monthly trading edge for our paying subscribers (which you also…
Bear market strategy refers to the techniques traders and investors use to trade the market during a bear run. They include entry, exit, trade management, and risk management strategies investors use to protect their assets and even make some profits…
Mean reversion has worked very well on most Western stock indices for about four decades since the advent of futures trading. It has worked even better during the bull market after the financial crisis in 2008/09. Perhaps counterintuitive, long strategies…
Wheel Trading Strategy The wheel trading strategy is a popular options trading strategy that involves generating income from options by buying and selling puts and covered calls. It is a systematic approach to trading options, allowing investors to potentially generate…
Introducing the “3 Day Low Trading Strategy”! This strategy is based on Larry Connors’ double 7 method and aims to capitalize on the stock market’s mean-reverting tendencies. It involves identifying ETFs that close at a 3-day low and have an…
What Does A Follow Through Day Mean In Trading? As a stock trader, you may likely have asked this question several times: “How do you identify a stock rally?” That might have been the question that led William J. O’Neil…
Channel trading can be profitable when used correctly. It can help you to track and speculate on the prevailing market trend, especially if you are a swing trader. But it can also be used in range-bound markets. Both mean-reversion traders…
The advent of Artificial Intelligence is here, and is forecast to combine with and revolutionize many industries in the years to come. One such combined industry is ‘Robotics and AI’, and traders are increasingly seeking ways to position themselves to…
The channel breakout trading strategy is one of many ways to trade breakouts. Breakouts are a popular trading strategy. As the name suggests, this method involves identifying and capitalizing on significant price movements as an asset breaks free from its typical…
Today we’ll present a strategy that we first wrote about some years ago – an article called big moves on Mondays – but we have made a small twist to the strategy. We call the strategy for the Big Reversal…
Dogs Of The Dow (DOD) Some investment strategies allow you to enjoy maximum dividend income, and Dogs of the Dow is one of such. But what does it really mean and how has it performed lately? Dogs of the Dow…
A market-neutral strategy is a type of investment approach that enables an investor to benefit from both rising and falling stock prices. This is achieved by taking long positions in one stock and short positions in another stock. The strategy…
Commodities, being closely tied to weather patterns and economic activity, exhibit high cyclical characteristics. Similarly, stocks also display cyclical tendencies. Given this, is there an opportunity to capitalize on their optimal performance? The commodities to equity ratio tries to do…
Introduction to the Z-Score Trading Strategy: The Z-Score is a statistical measure used in finance to assess a company’s financial health and its likelihood of bankruptcy. The Z-Score Trading Strategy employs this metric to make improved investment decisions. The Z-Score…
Pairs Trading Strategy involves being neutral to the direction of the market. This article looks at what pairs trading is, how it works, and its advantages and disadvantages (pros and cons). The main benefit of pairs trading is market neutrality….
In this article, we present some Larry Williams trading strategies. Larry Williams has marked his name in the register of successful traders. He has authored several books and is very popular in the trading industry. Born on 6th October 1942,…
Volatility goes up and down in any financial market. Low volatility is often followed by periods of high volatility and vice versa. Bollinger Bands are one of the tools a trader can use to measure volatility. What is the Bollinger…
Italy is one of the most beautiful countries in the world, and it certainly has one of the best foods. However, they have struggled to grow their economy and, accordingly, their stock market. The Italian stock market is currently trading…
Let’s look at at price pattern that shows that Tesla’s stock price booms every time this happens. It doesn’t happen often, but it has worked well so far: Tesla’s Stock Price Booms Every Time This Happens The trading rules are…
Does trend following work in the S&P 500? We recently came across an article called Breaking into the Blackbox: Trend Following, Stop Losses, and the Frequency of Trading: The Case of the S&P 500. It’s written by academics, but in…
One of Warren Buffett’s investment advice is, “Be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful!” That basically explains the contrarian trading strategy. The contrarian trading strategy is one that goes against the prevailing sentiment in the…
Momentum trading is the opposite of buying low and selling high: momentum is about buying strength. Can we make a successful momentum strategy for S&P 500? Yes, a momentum strategy for the S&P 500 works. We use monthly bars and…
Is there a safe investment asset strategy? A while back, Meb Faber published a white paper called What Is The Safest Investment Asset. Faber wanted to answer if there is such a thing as the safest asset in the world….
QQQ Trading Strategies and Systems The QQQ is the largest and most liquid ETF that tracks the Nasdaq Composite Index. It is a popular investment vehicle for both individual and institutional investors. However, successfully trading the QQQ can be challenging…
How important are the best days compared to total profits? In trading, you want to avoid negatively skewed trading strategies. These are strategies that have fat left tails and might wipe out all your profits from many trades. You need…
How do you do overnight trading? Is it possible to make money via overnight trading? Can you make money by owning stocks or indices for just one day? Is overnight trading good? You do overnight trading by buying the close…
The Dow Theory is widely considered one of the earliest forms of technical analysis in the western world and has always been a very integral part of technical analysis since then. But what is the theory about? The Dow Theory…
When should you sell a stock or position? Many articles and videos deal with when to buy, but less focus is on when to sell. When should you sell? What method should you use to sell? What is the best…
Meb Faber’s Tactical Asset Allocation strategy is an active trend-following strategy that uses market timings and allocates assets across four asset classes: stocks, bonds, REITs, and commodities. These four asset classes are divided into five categories: U.S. stocks, foreign stocks,…
Are there any daily seasonalities in the S&P 500? I did some research into SPY, an ETF based on the S&P 500 components and a very good proxy, based average return on which day of the month. To get a…
The Weighted Moving Average (WMA) is a valuable technical indicator employed by traders to assess the direction of trade and assist in making informed decisions on when to buy or sell. This article looks at the math, theory, and basics…
Energy sector trading is the process of gaining exposure to multiple stocks in the energy sector as a means of diversification and generating profits. Investment can be done by buying an ETF that tracks the sector or by building a…
Today we will look at a strategy published by Michael Gayed in his paper An Intermarket Approach to Beta Rotation: The Strategy, Signal and Power of Utilities. Gayed’s paper is among the most downloaded papers on the SSRN website. The…
Taking advantage of the popularity of Tradingview and its powerful tools for technical analysis, we will explore Bollinger Bands and their potential for creating a trading strategy. Stay with us until the end to see how we use the tools…
Previously I wrote an article about the detrimental effect of using stop-loss. What happens if we reverse it? Does using a profit target create any value? When trading it’s mentally very hard to see a nice gain turn around into…
Variable moving average strategy backtest Traders have always looked for ways to improve the performance of the exponential moving average, and using a volatility index (VI) to adjust the smoothing period as market conditions change has given rise to the…
With the tight regulations that followed the 2008/2009 financial crisis, this sector has been stable with steady growth. But let’s see what it has to offer. In this article, we discuss the US financial sector and we show you an…
Bond trading strategies are a great inclusion in a portfolio of strategies because they offer diversification and, most likely, uncorrelated returns. Bonds are complementary. First, you might want to have a look at other articles related to bond trading strategies:…
The PENTAD Timing Model By Nelson Freeburg is an active, complicated strategy that uses four stock indices and one advance/decline line for producing buy/sell signals. This timing model is designed for the US stock market. Using this timing model, you…
Variable Index Dynamic Average strategy backtest Over the years, chartists have developed indicators to help them analyze the market better. While there are many of these indicators, a few stand out for their usefulness. One of such is the Variable…
Globalization has made it possible for investors to tap into investment opportunities around the world, and as the second largest economy in the world, the Chinese stock market provides opportunities. But what is your China trading strategy? You can also…
Understanding volume and price, and how they can influence the market, is very important in trading. Since volume is the measure of activities in the market, traders can use the information provided to increase the probability of their trades. A…
While there are many different indicators used in technical analysis, only a few are deeply rooted in how price action is formed and how institutions, smart money, algorithms, and retail traders combined can give us a hint of how the…
Today we will introduce you to a well-known stock market anomaly – the small-cap effect strategy. Small-cap stocks are one of the types/factors you can invest in and hold in your securities portfolio. Small-cap stocks differ from large- and mid-cap…
Below, you will find backtested and researched trading ideas and analysis. They contain performance metrics, statistics, risks, historical performance, and figures. We do investment research and analysis based on statistics and history for informational and educational purposes. This is factual…
Of course, companies release their earnings reports every quarter. If you are a short-term trader, you may have wondered whether to buy a stock before or after the release of its earnings report. What is the earnings report trading strategy?…
There are different ways to participate in the financial markets, and some of them have been structured to involve just predicting the market direction. One such easy but risky trading method is Nadex trading. Wondering what Nadex trading strategies are?…
The largest economy in Latin America, Brazil has a well-established financial market and is the top investment destination in South America. The country has some of the biggest stock and commodity exchanges in the continent, providing opportunities for day trading…
How have stocks, bonds, and gold performed after options expiration week in August? Let’s backtest and find out: Trading Rules First, let’s backtest the performance of stocks (S&P 500) since 1985. We chose 1985 because it was around this time…
We have put together a “strategy pack” (bundle) of 4 strategies for S&P 500 (SPY). We have not backtested on @ES, but it might work if trading the same opening hours as SPY. Buy and sell orders are backtested…
In this post, we take a look at the Elliot Wave trading strategy. At the end of the article, we present you with an Elliott Wave strategy. In the 1920s and 1930s, stock market analyst, Ralph Nelson Elliott, discovered that…
Can price action trading strategies leverage market prices effectively to enhance your trading decisions and strategies? By analyzing pure price movements, these strategies help traders anticipate future market trends and pinpoint high-probability trades without relying on complex indicators. This article…
Interest rate trading strategy involves buying or selling financial assets, such as bonds, stocks, and Forex to profit from changes in the benchmark interest rate. The goal of the strategy is to make money from fluctuations in these instruments’ values…
Stocks can be classified into many types: value vs. growth, profitability vs. investment, developed vs. developing countries, and, of course, large vs. small caps. Today, we present a large cap vs small cap rotation trading strategy. The large-cap vs. small-cap…
Hounds of the Bay is another investment strategy that allows you to enjoy maximum dividend income. But what is Hounds of the Bay all about? Named after the Canadian financial center, the Bay Street, Hounds of the Bay is a…
With e-minis, the Chicago Mercantile Exchange’s Globex electronic trading platform has made it possible for individuals with less capital to play the futures and commodity markets from around the world. It is one of the most efficient and cost-effective ways…
Most traders attach trendlines across one swing side of a trend to delineate its direction. But to appreciate the individual price swings within a trend, you may need to have a price channel to see the up-and-down swinging movement of…
TradingView is a financial platform that offers tools for traders to visualize market data, create and share technical analysis, and develop and backtest trading strategies. The platform offers a variety of tools including charting, indicators, drawing tools, and alerts. It…
After decades of relying on fossil fuels to power the economy, there is increasing demand for Clean Energy such as solar, wind, and geothermal power. As the world seeks to transition into a green energy future, many traders now seek…
Commodity trading strategies involve buying and selling commodities in financial markets based on various analytical methods and market trends to generate profit. Commodity trading is the exchange of various commodities, such as agricultural products, crude oil, natural gas, and metals,…
With investors becoming more concerned about their risk-adjusted returns amid bearish and flat market environments, interest in event-driven strategies has gained momentum. But what are event-driven trading strategies? An event-driven strategy is a trading approach that seeks to exploit pricing…
Professional traders have their unique ways of trading, but one thing that is common among them is that they do not follow the crowd. They follow their specific trading plans and use their own strategies. But what are professional trading…
Let’s test the strategy Turnaround Tuesday but only in bear markets. Does that work? Turnaround Tuesday is one trading idea that has worked very well for many decades. We have covered it on our website multiple times. We are now…
Spin-offs are a popular corporate action that company management and boards may pursue to unlock value or narrow down their focus. Many famous investors, such as Joel Greenblatt, Seth Klarman, and Charlie Munger, have voiced their support for spin-offs as…
Market breadth indicators provide different information about the stock market in a way that other market indicators do not. But what is the market breadth? Market breadth indicates the total number of stocks that are rising in price relative to…
It’s a well-known fact that as options expiry day approaches, the biggest-cap stocks with actively traded options tend to witness huge trading volumes (and sometimes increased volatility). In fact, the most important day in stock trading is the expiry day….
A profitable trading strategy is one that consistently makes money over a reasonable period of time. It is not just enough for a strategy to make some winning trades over a short time because market conditions can change and it…
Here is a trading strategy that are rotating between S&P500 and Treasuries. There exist many strategies that rotate between S&P 500 and Treasuries. Over the weekend we had a look at the white paper of Meb Fabe called A Quantitative…
Equal weight and market weight are two different methods to build an index. The S&P 500 is famously a market-weighted index, like most stock indices. But the question that pops up is: Which type of market weighting performs best –…
ETF trading strategies can be a very nice addition to your trading strategy arsenal. This guide breaks down key ETF tactics including trend following, mean reversion, and more, to give you a better understanding of how you can trade ETFs….
The financial markets may seem to move randomly, but they actually move in repeating patterns and trends. One indicator traders use to take advantage of the patterns is the fractal indicator. What is it? Fractal Indicator Trading Strategy is the…
There are different ways to skin a cat, they say. This is true in trading as well. While some find their edge in the market with the help of trading indicators, others trade the price action, and the rabbit trail…
We already discussed how to create and backtest a trading strategy using Chat GPT in a prior article and video, but today we are going to skip the idea generation stage and jump right into the trading rules and backtest:…
The Dow Jones Industrial Average is the oldest stock market index in the world. However, it is not as popular as the S&P 500 or the Nasdaq nowadays. But this doesn’t mean it can’t be traded profitably. In this article,…
The 5-Day Low of The Range Strategy, with its simple criteria of IBS lower than 0.25 and the close lower than the lowest low of the previous 5 days, has shown remarkable results. Over the period from January 1993 until…
The futures market is exciting because of its good liquidity, and unlike equity day trading, there is no reasonable entry barrier, as you can start with as low as $500. But what exactly are futures? And can you find profitable…
You must have heard about fundamental analysis whether you trade stocks, futures, or forex. Many market pros, such as portfolio managers, hedge fund investors, and investment bank professionals, use fundamental analysis. But what the fundamental analysis strategy actually entails? A…
