What if a straightforward strategy could deliver solid returns with less risk? We backtested a simple trading approach using the SPY ETF, which tracks the S&P 500, and the results are compelling. By buying only after a down week and…
Very few bullish candlestick patterns work, but this article presents 3 bullish candlestick patterns that work. Even though Candlesticks are a popular charting method, very few patterns have any predictive value. We use candlesticks extensively ourselves for charting because we…
Weekly RSI vs daily RSI – what is best? This is a bit like comparing apples to oranges. It might be the same indicator, but RSI can deliver substantially different risk and reward payoffs in different time frames. Risk and…
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a go-to tool for traders, signaling when a stock or index might be overbought or oversold. But what happens when the market stays in that oversold zone for an extended period? Specifically, how often…
In the fast-paced world of financial markets, traders are always seeking new indicators to perform better technical analysis and improve their trading game — one such indicator is the Range Expansion Index (REI). What do you know about this indicator?…
There are many technical analysis indicators available on many trading platforms for analyzing the markets, and one of them is the market facilitation index (MFI). What do you know about this indicator and how to use it? The market facilitation…
FOMC meetings can have a significant impact on financial markets as decisions on interest rates made during these meetings can influence the direction of monetary policy and market expectations. Many traders look forward to them and trade the immediate volatility…
Trend trading and Mean reversion trading could rightfully be said to be the two biggest and most popular trading styles out there. And while both are used extensively, they capitalize on very different market behavior. Trend following and mean reversion…
The higher highs and higher lows pattern signals an uptrend. Is this likely to continue or reverse? In almost all markets, the higher high and higher low pattern signals weak future short-term gains. Unfortunately, it doesn’t work as a short…
The lower highs and lower lows pattern signals a downtrend. Is this likely to continue or reverse? What is the meaning of a lower highs and lower lows pattern? In almost all markets, the lower high and lower low pattern…
The Turnaround Tuesday Trading Strategy The Turnaround Tuesday effect happens from the close of Monday’s trading session until (at least) the close of Tuesday’s trading session. The effect is no myth! Let’s do some backtesting to find what seems to…
The Internal Bar Strength indicator (IBS) has worked remarkably well for over two decades. We can only guess why, but the stock market has been highly mean-reverting during this period, and this has, of course, given the IBS a nice…
Mean reversion trading strategies involve identifying assets that have deviated significantly from their historical average price or valuation and then betting on their eventual return or “reversion” to that mean level. Traders using mean reversion trading strategies anticipate that prices…
The MACD and RSI strategy refers to a trading method that makes use of both indicators in analyzing and trading the markets. The combination of both momentum indicators may give more insight into what the market may do next and…
The RSI trading strategy identifies overbought and oversold conditions in markets, measuring momentum on a scale. Readings above indicate overbought, while below signify oversold. Traders monitor divergence between price and RSI for potential reversals, often confirming with other indicators. Effective…
The RSI is one of the most popular indicators used in technical analysis. However, most people use it as a mean reversion indicator rather than a momentum indicator. Today, we show you an RSI range-momentum trading strategy. The RSI range-momentum…
When stock markets are overbought, we can expect weaker returns than average over the next few days. But in the long term, returns gravitate toward the average returns. Thus, overbought stock markets only predict short-term results – not long-term. This…
When stock markets are oversold, we can expect strong returns over the next few days. But in the long term, returns gravitate toward the average returns. Thus, oversold stock markets only predict short-term results, not long-term. We do a backtest…
Futures trading strategies often involve hedging against price movements to protect investments, utilizing contracts to buy or sell assets at predetermined prices in the future. Traders might also employ speculative strategies, aiming to profit from price changes by predicting market…
In the fast-paced world of semiconductor stocks, the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) offers a unique gateway to this high-growth sector. However, success in trading SMH isn’t just about market exposure—it’s about precision and strategy, preferably backtested. A robust trading plan…
Today we are presenting three free mean reversion strategies. They were partially published on this website a few years back, and today we make some minor adjustments and present their performance on different ETFs. Furthermore, we discuss why mean reversion…
I guess most traders have heard that “the trend is your friend“. Personally, I don’t do trend-following strategies, I go the opposite way: buy weakness and sell strength – mean reversion strategies. However, this depends on the instrument you trade…
High Probability ETF Trading, published in 2009 and written by Larry Connors and Cesar Alvarez, contains some interesting strategies. They are all mean revertive and tested on the most popular ETFs at the time of writing, which was the end…
Many trading indicators are available to traders. One of the indicators used in the stock market is the DeMarker indicator, named after Thomas DeMark, a prominent technical analyst. This indicator is a part of a trading system that incorporates bollinger…
Can we make a profitable MACD trading strategy with the help of the MACD indicator and the MACD histogram? This article examines the MACD indicator and its use to create a MACD trading strategy. It explains what the indicator is…
The Relative Strength Index indicator is popular, for a reason, but in this article, I backtested the default settings of the RSI indicator, and made it better. Investments and trading is a wonderful world where large companies and small investors…
A pullback trading strategy is a trading strategy that involves buying a stock after it has experienced a recent decline in price. The rationale behind this strategy is that the stock is likely to rebound from its recent decline and…
We rank Williams %R as the best oscillating indicator for trading strategies. It’s certainly not the most known nor the most used, but in our humble opinion, our backtests proved Williams %R to be the most stable indicator for almost…
Connors RSI including backtest Often referred to as CRSI, the Connors RSI indicator is a momentum-based oscillator that tries to improve on the original 14-period RSI indicator developed by Welles Wilder. Unlike the original 14-period RSI indicator, the CRSI uses…
Zweig Breadth Thrust Indicator is a market breadth indicator that helps you understand the internal strength of the market, at least that’s what the theory says. There are many breadth indicators – among them the Zweig Breadth Thrust Indicator (one…
Below is a simple and easy trading strategy to implement in QQQ. Let’s go straight to the trading rules: Trading Rules The equity curve since January 2000 looks like this (starting with 100 000 in equity and allocating 100% of…
The Triple RSI trading strategy is a modified version of the RSI strategy with four key variables, three of which are based on the RSI. It focuses on mean reversion, and the trading rules involve conditions related to RSI readings,…
While you might not have known it by its name, you would have fallen victim to the bear trap, especially if you love “calling the top” of a reversal trade. Have you ever tried entering a short trade thinking the…
Today we test Larry Connors‘ R3 strategy and we continue backtesting the trading strategies Larry Connors and his team published in 2009 in a book called High Probability ETF Trading. All the strategies were tested on a basket of 20…
We have presented many XLP trading strategies over the years, and this is for a reason. The headline of this article, is XLP good for trading, deserves a big “yes”. This article argues that XLP (consumer staples) is an underappreciated…
In this article, we will look at one of these traps; why does it happen? Who is responsible for them? Why does it concern you, and can you outsmart it? We show you how you can profit from a bull…
Discover 4 overnight trading strategies in the stock market. In this article, we unveil four trading strategies tailored for short-term gains in the S&P 500. These strategies capitalize on the momentum from the previous close to the next day’s open,…
In chapter 5 of Larry Connors‘ book High Probability Trading, published in 2009, there is a trading strategy called %b strategy. The book contains many strategies which we test in chronological order. 12 years have passed since the book was…
The NR7 trading strategy is a narrow-range strategy that is both well-known and popular. If you do a search on the internet, you get multiple hits on the strategy. To our knowledge, the strategy was first developed by Tony Crabel…
The end-of-month effect (also called the Ultimo Effect) is a well-known trading strategy in the stock market. We have covered this anomaly before. Perhaps what is lesser known is that the effect spills over to the first three days of…
Traders and market analysts keep inventing new tools to navigate the ever-changing landscape of financial markets, and one such tool is the CMO Absolute Indicator. What do you know about this indicator? The CMO Absolute indicator is a momentum indicator…
A time series analysis strategy might be helpful for traders. This article discusses practical tips & techniques and the essentials: forming objectives, selecting models, and preparing data for analysis. Whether you’re predicting stock performance or expecting weather changes, we provide…
Is it a good idea to buy stocks setting 252-day lows? In this article, we backtest a 252-day low trading strategy for stocks. No, it’s not a good idea to buy stocks that set new 252-day lows. The 252-day low…
Is it smart to buy stocks setting 252-day highs? Let’s backtest a 252-day high trading strategy for stocks. The 252-day high trading strategy for stocks returned 9.6% annually while using, on average, 83% of the capital. 252-day high trading strategy…
This article shows you how to short retail investors’ favorite stocks. Is it possible to make money shorting stocks? It is, albeit it’s very difficult. In the context of a bear market, where stock prices can rapidly decline and volatility…
Stochastic trading strategy (Backtest) In this section, we tested the stochastics indicator strategy using two trading styles: short-term mean reversion (overbought/oversold) and %K and %D crossovers. We tried only the S&P 500, and we used the ETF with the ticker…
Below is a trading strategy backtested on SPY or the S&P 500: The classical mean reversion strategy in the S&P 500 In plain English the strategy reads like this: Trading Rules The equity curve since January 2000 looks like this…
The MACD-histogram trading strategy is a mean-reversion system that identifies momentum changes and reversal points in the stock market. The strategy has generated 6669 trades on a portfolio of 77 ETFs, with long positions better than short positions. Lets jump…
SPY is very mean revertive and RSI is a mean revertive indicator. Does this mean that RSI works on SPY? In this article, we test an RSI SPY trading strategy. It turns out that our hypothesis is correct: the RSI…
Larry Connors and Cesar Alvarez revealed a trading strategy called Double Seven in their book Short Term Trading Strategies That Work. This is a fairly simple system that at the time worked very well among a wide range of ETFs….
Cutler’s RSI including backtest. The RSI is a very popular trading indicator among different security traders. But there are other variations of the RSI indicator. One of them is Cutler‘s RSI. You may be wondering what it is, and in…
Does the RSI Indicator work on crypto or Bitcoin? Bitcoin and other cryptos are attracting many traders and new investors, and the crypto daily volume is rising significantly, probably draining resources from the more traditional stock trading arena. The crypto…
Many momentum oscillators tend to turn very positive at the beginning of a major advance and quickly enter the overbought territory or even show bearish divergence while the market is still advancing. The ultimate oscillator is a type of momentum…
WilliamsVixFix indicator was invented back in 2007 when the well-known trader and “indicator innovator” Larry Williams wrote an article in Active Trader about VIX and how you can create your synthetic VIX for any security you like. The aim of…
