Navigating the fast-paced world of financial markets requires using tools that can show you the direction and strength of the current price trend — one tool that can help is the linear regression slope indicator. What do you know about…
Is a higher sharpe Ratio better?
A commodity trading advisor (CTA) is an individual or organization that provides personalized advice and services related to trading in futures contracts, commodity options, and retail off-exchange forex contracts or swaps. It could also be a fund that uses a…
Win ratio in trading
High low strategy
This review of Amibroker is based on many years of live trading. Prior to using Amibroker, I was trading semi-automatically by using a simple script in Excel. Having focused solely on stocks since 2001, I decided to start looking into…
Quad witching (quadruple witching) refers to the expiry of four financial derivative contracts on the same day: stock index futures, stock index options, single stock options, and single stock futures (the latter have low volumes and are most likely not…
Quant strategists employ different tools and systems in their algorithms to improve performance and reduce risk. One is the Monte Carlo simulation, which is quite powerful regarding option pricing or risk management problems. A Monte Carlo simulation represents the likelihood…
The ATR indicator is useful on its own and can be used to develop an Average True Range trading strategy. The Average True Range (ATR) was developed by Welles Wilder in the 1970s. In his famous book called New Concepts…
If you have ever looked at a stock chart, you would know that stock prices often swing about, which is why some people trade the swings for quick profits rather than wait out the inevitable downturns. However, most stocks rise…
You can develop and create profitable short-selling strategies and systems, but you can’t expect to find many; they normally trade infrequently. This article presents several short-selling strategies in the S&P 500 (SPY and ES) and consumer staples (XLP). Moreover, we…
St. Patrick’s Day is an important day for Catholics. Is the day just as green for stocks as for those celebrating? St. Patrick’s Day is one of the best days of the year for stocks, but that is thanks to…
Is a stop loss good or bad? What is the best stop-loss trading strategy? Are there alternatives to a stop-loss? How many different stop loss strategies are there? One mantra is repeated when you read books and blogs about trading:…
The Ichimoku trading strategy uses a technical analysis indicator that defines support and resistance levels, shows the trend direction, and gauges the momentum of the trend. It does this by plotting multiple averages on the price chart, which forms a…
The 9/30 trading strategy is a trend-following strategy that uses two moving averages — a 9-period EMA (exponential moving average) and a 30-period WMA (weighted moving average) — to spot trading opportunities when there is a pullback. The 9-period EMA…
New traders often think that there is that one indicator that would help them make big profits from the market all the time. Unfortunately, there is none, which is why the triple screen strategy was invented to exploit the strong…
Moving averages are known to reduce market noise and smooth the price data, but that often comes with a lagging tendency — this is what makes the Zero Lag Hull Moving Average (HMA) a special indicator. What do you know…
A trader in a losing stock position has only a few options: they can close the trade at a loss and look for opportunities elsewhere; they can hold the losing position for a while and hope that the price will…
Ray Dalio’s All Weather Portfolio is a pretty well-known portfolio, and for good reasons, in our opinion. Ray Dalio and his team at Bridgewater Associates constructed the All Weather Portfolio to withstand every economic environment (and shocks) possible. What exactly…
How to calculate the Sharpe Ratio in Python
David Swensen was the President and Chief Investment Officer of Yale University endowment from the mid-1980s until his death in May 2021. Swensen, along with Dean Takahashi, invented The Yale Model. Let’s take a look at the David Swensen Portfolio…
Opening range breakout trading strategies (ORB) are popular strategies, perhaps because of Tony Crabel’s classical trading book published in 1990: Day trading With Short Term Price Patterns And Opening Range Breakout. 31 years after it was published, we still see…
Many traders look at the gold and S&P 500 ratio. The ratio can be used to create sector rotation strategies are popular. One of the reasons is the anticipation of better and more efficient capital allocation, and perhaps a second…
The dual momentum trading strategy by Gary Antonacci, what is that about? As the Oracle of Omaha, Warren Buffett, once said: “Trying to time the market is the number one mistake to avoid.” It is almost impossible to consistently time…
Trading securities can be as simple as clicking the buy or sell button on your trading device, and the trade orders get executed. While that may be true for retail trading, it may not be so for institutional trading which…
Python is one of the most popular programming languages in finance. It is widely used for data analysis, machine learning and, of course, backtesting trading strategies. Today we will show you how to calculate and backtest a MACD, Moving Average…
In the fast-paced world of financial trading, traders are always seeking new approaches to improve their analysis of the markets — this led to the creation of the Market Thrust indicator. What do you know about this indicator? The Market…
The Python code language allows for backtesting and executing Python Trading Strategy Algorithms. Python is an open-source, high-level yet easy-to-learn computer programming language that is used in a wide variety of applications, including algorithmic trading and data analysis. With all…
The higher highs and higher lows pattern signals an uptrend. Is this likely to continue or reverse? In almost all markets, the higher high and higher low pattern signals weak future short-term gains. Unfortunately, it doesn’t work as a short…
The lower highs and lower lows pattern signals a downtrend. Is this likely to continue or reverse? What is the meaning of a lower highs and lower lows pattern? In almost all markets, the lower high and lower low pattern…
The Nasdaq E-mini 100 futures contract is an electronically traded stock market index futures contract based on the Nasdaq 100 index — an index of the largest 100 non-financial companies listed on the Nasdaq stock exchange. The index is primarily…
There are many exponential moving average (EMA) strategies, but the 50 EMA strategy is one of the most commonly used among traders in different financial markets. Let’s take a look at this 50 EMA trading strategy. The 50 EMA strategy…
If you are a forex day trader and looking for an effective way to beat the smart money, the London breakout strategy may be your guy. Wondering what the London breakout strategy is? Also known as the London daybreak strategy,…
Mark Spitznagel, Safe Haven – Investing For Financial Storms: What role can risk-mitigating and defensive assets play in a portfolio? Do we use them only to seek shelter until the passing of financial storms? Contrary to what we learn at…
Candlesticks are popular. They are very useful for visual displays, but our previous backtests indicate candlesticks might be useful to make trading strategies as well. In this article, we look at what is the best time frame for candlesticks: The…
Profit Factor is a key performance metric used in trading to assess the profitability of a trading system or strategy. It’s calculated by dividing the total profit generated by winning trades by the total loss incurred from losing trades. Essentially,…
The options expiration happens on the Friday before the 3rd Saturday of each month in the US. An often referred to effect is the options expiration week effect. Is this effect real, or is it just a myth? In this…
The Turnaround Tuesday Trading Strategy The Turnaround Tuesday effect happens from the close of Monday’s trading session until (at least) the close of Tuesday’s trading session. The effect is no myth! Let’s do some backtesting to find what seems to…
Trading quotes encapsulate the hard-won wisdom of Wall Street’s elite, offering profound insights into the high-stakes world of trading. In this ever-evolving landscape, where fortunes ebb and flow with each market cycle, the guiding words of seasoned professionals serve as…
For swing and mean-reversion traders, tracking the price swings and spotting potential reversals is key to finding trade setups, and the Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) can be a useful tool in this regard. What do you know about this indicator?…
The moving averages are one of the most used technical indicators in the market. However, there are many types of moving averages. Today we are going to be looking at the exponential moving average: 20 EMA trading strategy. The exponential…
There are some indicators you can easily combine to get the best out of the market. The moving average convergence divergence (MACD) and Bollinger Bands combination is one of the best synergic indicator combinations. You can use it to trade…
Is the stock market a zero-sum game? You frequently hear media refer to games and markets as zero-sum games. Yes, we define the stock market as a zero-sum game, both in the short and in the long term, although it…
This article argues why scalping is a waste of time. Why? Because you highly likely end up losing money. We don’t recommend scalping when trading. Scalping is hard and almost all scalpers end up losing. Scalping is a waste of…
The Internal Bar Strength indicator (IBS) has worked remarkably well for over two decades. We can only guess why, but the stock market has been highly mean-reverting during this period, and this has, of course, given the IBS a nice…
This article explains what a trading journal is, why it’s an essential tool for traders, how to create one, what to record, and how often to review your entries. We’ll also provide a free example of a trading journal for…
By combining Cryptocurrency Trading Strategies with a cool head and a bit of patience, you might ride the waves of cryptocurrency trading like a pro. So, buckle up, stay focused, and let’s look at crypto trading strategies! This article breaks…
Ed Seykota revolutionized trading by integrating technology with trend-following strategies. This article delves into how he transformed a $5,000 investment into $15 million, his core principles, and the legacy he left in the trading world. Key Takeaways The Ed Seykota…
Keltner Channel Trading Strategy (Keltner Bands) is a lesser-known sibling of the Bollinger Bands which are widely used and pretty famous. Despite being rather unknown, Keltner Bands are still included in most software packages. In this article, we take a…
Among the tools available for analyzing the markets, oscillators are some of the most interesting for tracking the momentum of individual price swings — one that seems to do a damn good job is the Pretty Good Oscillator (PGO). What…
The domain of breakout trading strategies opens doors to profit from possible changes in market trends. Breakouts are key indicators of trend shifts, providing traders with chances for financial gain. Our detailed guide will take you through multiple approaches enabling…
There are many indicators and tools for technical analysis, but only a few have leading properties like the Fibonacci tools, which is why Fibonacci trading is popular among traders. But how do you trade a Fibonacci trading strategy? A Fibonacci…
Mean reversion trading strategies involve identifying assets that have deviated significantly from their historical average price or valuation and then betting on their eventual return or “reversion” to that mean level. Traders using mean reversion trading strategies anticipate that prices…
Was Edward Thorp just a skilled mathematician, or did he revolutionize how we gamble and trade financial assets? Discover the man who not only conquered blackjack with his card counting system, but also shook Wall Street with his quantitative and…
The Valentine’s Day rally is an annual event in which stock prices tend to increase in anticipation of the romantic holiday. The rally has been studied extensively by investors and economists alike, with a variety of conclusions drawn from the…
Trend following trading strategies aim to profit from existing market trends. They identify trends using technical analysis tools, enter trades in the direction of the trend, and exit when signs of reversal appear. These strategies focus on momentum, use risk…
Given that the Super Bowl is such a big event for Americans, can we spot any seasonal trends before and after the event? Is the Super Bowl bullish or bearish for stocks and bonds? Is there a Super Bowl indicator?…
Trend following has many followers, for some investors and traders trend following is like a religion. But does trend following work? And if so, why does it work? Yes, trend following does work. If we look at history, even simple…
Gold Moving Average Strategy and Trend following systems work. Below we present a very simple trend following system in gold: In this article, we look at how you can use the 12-month (250-day) moving average to outperform the gold price. Gold…
Some traders believe they can use the phases of the moon cycle (lunar cycles), such as the full moon, to time the market and make profitable trading decisions. This has given rise to the Full Moon/Moon Phases/Lunar Cycles Trading Strategies….
George Washington’s Day/Presidents’ Day is a federal holiday in the US. But does it affect the US stock market? The US financial markets do not open on George Washington’s Day or Presidents’ Day. Trading does not take place on any…
The 200-day moving average trading strategy is frequently used as an indicator in the financial markets. Who hasn’t heard about the “Death Cross”, “support at the moving averages”, “the trend is positive because the price is above the averages”, etc.? …
The 9 EMA trading strategy is a widely used technical analysis indicator strategy among traders to identify short-term market trends. It involves the use of the 9-period exponential moving average to generate buy and sell signals. The strategy is easy…
The Ben Felix Model Portfolio, developed by Ben Felix and Cameron Passmore of PWL Capital, is a globally diversified investment strategy that utilizes index funds and tilts towards specific factors, such as Size, Value, and Profitability, for added potential returns….
The magic behind Jim Simons’ trading strategies consists of collecting an enormous amount of data and analyzing the data to find statistical patterns and non-random events in a wide range of markets. Furthermore, Jim Simons and Renaissance Technologies have put…
Can you make money swing trading futures. Swing trading is a unique style of market speculation where positions are held beyond the trading day but not more than a few days or weeks. This style can be used to trade…
The January Barometer is a seasonal trading strategy that worked over many decades. While the traditional January Effect seems to be arbed away, the January Barometer has worked well for many decades. This is the January effect that works – the January…
Yes, the turtle trading strategy still works today. It is a trend-following strategy, so it works in markets with clear trends. While the original strategy, which is based on identifying breakouts, still works reasonably well, traders have modified the turtle…
The MACD and RSI strategy refers to a trading method that makes use of both indicators in analyzing and trading the markets. The combination of both momentum indicators may give more insight into what the market may do next and…
Today we want to delve into John Ehler’s Trading Strategy and an indicator created by this famous author to investigate financial instruments quantitatively. In August 2006, John Ehlers published an article in Stocks & Commodities titled Modeling The Market =…
In this article, we will discuss an indicator called SuperTrend, which has a very promising name. So, what is the Supertrend Indicator Trading Strategy exactly? The SuperTrend indicator is a type of trend following indicator that was created by trader…
Weekly RSI vs daily RSI – what is best? This is a bit like comparing apples to oranges. It might be the same indicator, but RSI can deliver substantially different risk and reward payoffs in different time frames. Risk and…
In the world of technical analysis, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a widely used momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements. Larry Connors, a prominent trader and author, introduced a variation known as the Cumulative…
The RSI trading strategy identifies overbought and oversold conditions in markets, measuring momentum on a scale. Readings above indicate overbought, while below signify oversold. Traders monitor divergence between price and RSI for potential reversals, often confirming with other indicators. Effective…
There are many popular momentum oscillators available for technical analysis today, but this forgotten oscillator — the Kairi Relative Index — can still be very effective for swing trading if you know how to use it. What do you know…
The RSI is one of the most popular indicators used in technical analysis. However, most people use it as a mean reversion indicator rather than a momentum indicator. Today, we show you an RSI range-momentum trading strategy. The RSI range-momentum…
As traders, we rely on many different technical tools for analysis to gain meaningful insights into market trends, and one tool that tracks the trend effectively is the Standard Error Bands. What do you know about this indicator? The Standard…
The RSI indicator is one of the most popular and well-known trading indicators out there. It’s used by many to analyze the markets in search of profitable entries and exits. Before going any further, let’s just define what RSI is….
Covered calls trading strategy looks tempting when interest rates and dividend yields are down because many investors and traders look for additional ways to generate “income”. Many pundits promise both good returns and “income” if you issue call options on…
Can you make money on a bullish or bearish AAII market sentiment indicator? When the pessimists turn optimistic and the optimists turn pessimistic, a bottom or top is formed. If you understand market sentiment and where traders and investors feel…
In the fast-paced world of financial trading, traders are always looking for better indicators to improve their analysis of the markets — one such indicator is the Gaussian Filter. What do you know about this indicator? The Gaussian filter is…
Traders might have different personality traits. What is the best personality type for trading? Most traders focus on finding a trading edge in the market by developing good and robust trading strategies. But many neglect one very important factor for…
The NAAIM Exposure Index is becoming a popular indicator for tracking investor sentiment. But what is it about? Compiled by the National Association of Active Investment Managers (NAAIM), the NAAIM Exposure Index represents the average exposure to US Equity markets…
This article presents a personality test for traders. Brett Steenbarger is a famous trading psychologist who has written the bestseller The Psychology Of Trading. In the book, Steenbarger referred to personality traits that tend to distinguish good from bad traders….
Nassim Nicholas Taleb is a world-known statistician, mathematician, philosopher, trader, and investor, and his primary interests evolve around randomness, uncertainty, and probabilities. Taleb came into the limelight after his book called Black Swan became a best seller, but in our…
Curve fitting is when a strategy or edge is not fit to market behavior, but market noise, leading to failure in live trading. Curve fitting (overfitting) is overoptimization that is unlikely to fit into future unknown data. You have probably…
Why is drawdown in trading important? Why should you spend time thinking about what is a good max drawdown percentage? How you prepare and deal with drawdowns in trading is important. Why is it important? Because a drawdown makes you fiddle, change, abandon your…
NFP reports are known to induce volatility in the financial markets, as well as set the tone for price movements each month. So, it is in your interest as a trader to know how to read the NFP report and…
When stock markets are overbought, we can expect weaker returns than average over the next few days. But in the long term, returns gravitate toward the average returns. Thus, overbought stock markets only predict short-term results – not long-term. This…
When stock markets are oversold, we can expect strong returns over the next few days. But in the long term, returns gravitate toward the average returns. Thus, oversold stock markets only predict short-term results, not long-term. We do a backtest…
As traders, we rely on different tools to analyze price movements and gain meaningful insights into the nature and direction of the market — one tool that can help show the direction of price movements is the Displaced Moving Average…
Linear vs logarithmic charts and scale is important to understand because the difference between linear and logarithmic charts might be huge – the bigger the scale the more it matters. The difference between a linear chart and a log scale…
Navigating the erratic world of financial markets can be a daunting task, which is why traders are always seeking better tools to improve their technical analysis — one such tool is the Twiggs Money Flow indicator. What do you know…
Very few bullish candlestick patterns work, but this article presents 3 bullish candlestick patterns that work. Even though Candlesticks are a popular charting method, very few patterns have any predictive value. We use candlesticks extensively ourselves for charting because we…
How do you calculate the future inflation rate? Is it possible? Yes, it’s possible to estimate the future inflation rate. In this article, we show you how you can interpret what the traders in the bond markets believe about future…
Martin Luther King Jr. Day is one of the federal holidays observed in the US. How does it affect trading on the US stock markets? The US financial markets do not open on Martin Luther King Jr. Day, which is…
Inflation is one of the most popular and important economic indicators. It is monitored by everyone — businesses, financial regulators, and investors. Not only does it guide regulators in their policies, but also, it affects businesses, which in turn, influences…
Tail risk is the risk of extreme losses that occur outside of the normal distribution of returns. It is also known as fat tail risk because the distribution of returns has a fatter tail than a normal distribution. Backtesting is…
Determining your S&P 500 investment returns is crucial for financial planning. Using our s p 500 return calculator, you can gauge both historical performance and future potential. This article guides you through the process, ensuring you maximize the tool for…
