Author: Oddmund Groette

Backtesting is a tool that not only small retail traders use but also big institutions. The world’s most successful hedge fund, Jim Simons’ Medallion Fund, uses backtesting continuously to develop

Commodities and gold are hard to trade – much harder than stocks, in our opinion. However, a few strategies have worked for a pretty long time. Today we backtest a

One of the more peculiar effects on the S&P 500 is the huge difference in performance between odd and even days. This article shows a trading strategy that is only

One of the most well-known effects in the stock market is the Turnaround Tuesday. Is this a myth or fact? This article looks at the Turnaround Tuesday trading strategy. The

Calendar effects are pretty well known in the stock market, but perhaps not so well known in long-term Treasuries. In this article, we look at some specific calendar effects in

We believe the two most important parameters to evaluate a trading strategy are the max drawdown and the win ratio. The main reason for their importance is to avoid behavioral

Moving averages are frequently used as an indicator in the financial markets. Who hasn’t heard about the “Death Cross”, “support at the moving averages”, “the trend is positive because the

August 2021 marks my 20-year anniversary as a full-time trader (and investor). I started trading when I was laid off after the dot com bubble and being dumped by my

When you read books and blogs about trading there is one mantra repeated over and over: you must always have a stop-loss. Why this obsession about stop-loss? The reason why

Mean reversion is originally a statistical term, first mentioned by Francis Galton, the hero of the famous trader Victor Niederhoffer, but today mean reversion is mainly a financial term. Today

Why is max drawdown important in trading? Why should you spend time thinking about what is a good drawdown percentage? Max drawdown is important in trading because it influences your

Gap trading strategies have been a popular tool for many decades. Gaps vary in size, variations, and volume depending on the asset you are looking at. Gaps can be traded

The internet is flooded with anecdotal evidence about how to swing trade and how to make money. Unfortunately, almost all articles consist of unproven and untested swing trades. To make

EU residents are not eligible for trading most US-domiciled/registered ETFs. Because of this, EU retail clients and traders are looking for alternatives: Are US futures or EU ETFs viable options

Trading strategies stop working – sooner or later. Many traders would hope a strategy lasts forever, but markets are not meant to be static. Markets are dynamic and evolve and

Imagine yourself having one or several trading strategies that are literally handing you money on a silver plate. Then one day everything stops working and you are stranded with no

Many traders use various forms of stops in their trading. One of them is the profit target. A profit target is exactly what the name says: a pre-set price where

Quant trading (quantitative trading) might sound complicated, but don’t let the terms scare you away from trying or digging deeper. But does quant trading work, and if so, how can

In the US, the options expiration happens on the Friday before the 3rd Saturday each month. An often referred to effect is the option expiration week effect. Is this effect

Many traders are wondering what time frame they should focus on when they started trading: Minutes, hours, days, weeks, months, or even years? Which time frame is best in trading?

On the 18th of June, we witnessed major moves in both long-term Treasuries (TLT) and the S&P 500 (SPY). That is not abnormal: when the going gets tough in stocks,

There are many effects and seasonalities in the stock market. One frequently mentioned seasonality is the first trading day of the month effect. Is the first trading day of the

The US independence holiday is just around the corner. In 2021 the fourth of July is on a Sunday, and this means Monday 5th of July is a non-trading day.

Many traders label themselves as breakout traders. We are not, we are agnostic and trade whatever strategy we believe is rational and smart, but we have a few trading strategies

The stock market has a strong seasonality from October to May, while gold and gold stocks outperform the rest of the months. Can this be used to construct a tradeable

There are plenty of seasonalities in the markets. In this article, we look at the seasonality of energy stocks. It turns out that all the gains since 1986 have come

The end-of-month effect is a well-known trading strategy in the stock market. We have covered this anomaly before. To get you started on what this strategy is all about we

Rotation strategies are popular. One of the reasons is the anticipation of better and more efficient capital allocation, and perhaps a second aim is to reduce the drawdown. Today we

In order to make money trading, you need prey. One of the prerequisites for trading is volatility. No volatility, no prey. No prey, no gains. In this article, we do

Many traders gravitate towards high volatility stocks. Traders need volatility, but you also need to make sure you don’t risk ruin. The ETF with the ticker code XLP is not

All markets are different and have their own seasonalities and tendencies. In the stock market, the tendency is for the gains to accrue during the night – ie. an overnight

Yes, it’s possible to find inefficiencies in the markets. However, if you want to consistently make money in the markets, you need to understand how the markets work. Are you

How many candlestick patterns are there? There is most likely an unlimited number of formations, where the minority has been labeled or given a name. Our research indicates there are